ATP Indian Wells Betting Analysis & Free Winning Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Wednesday, March 9, 2016 7:26 PM GMT

The first Masters 1000 event of the year takes place in Indian Wells. Join us while we analyze the top contenders, the player to keep an eye on and the highest value tennis bets on this competition.

ATP Indian Wells
The BNP Paribas Open takes place in Indian Wells and will be played on Hard Court

 

Main Contenders
The four-time Indian Wells winner and defending champion, Novak Djokovic, is once again the undeniable favorite to lift the trophy. After an outstanding start of season, with Djokovic grabbing his 6th Australian Open title, the Serbian was forced to retire from ATP Dubai due to an eye problem. After that event, the world no.1 kept showing some problems on his Davis Cup appearance, losing the doubles match and being very close from losing the 4th rubber against Mikhail Kukushkin – in a match where the Serbian found himself 1 – 2 down and showed serious physical difficulties. Djokovic should grab the trophy if he shows up at is best, but due to his recent problems it’s hard to find any value on his tennis odds at 1.72 on bet365.

Andy Murray extended his recent success on Davis Cup, helping Great Britain advancing to the next stage with two singles victories and a doubles triumph. When comparing the four Masters 1000 events played on North America – Indian Wells, Miami, Cincinnati and Toronto / Montreal – this Indian Wells event is the only where Andy wasn’t able to lift the trophy. He achieved his best result in 2009, when he lost at the final against Rafael Nadal. Andy is the highest ranked player on bottom half of the draw and with Roger Federer out and Novak Djokovic’s recent problems, the British knows this is a massive opportunity for him. Until the semifinals, Murray’s toughest opponents are three players who struggled lately with physical problems – Nick Kyrgios, Milos Raonic and Tomas Berdych. At the semifinals, a clash with Stan Wawrinka is possible and this won’t be an easy contest for the world no.2; however, given his biggest rivalries problems we believe there is value on Andy Murray’s outright at 5.00 on bet365.

After a disappointing second round loss last year against Robin Haase, Stan Wawrinka will be looking for a better performance this season. Despite Stan’s early loss at the Australian Open 4th round against Milos Raonic, his season has been quite successful so far with two titles in Chennai and Dubai. Wawrinka never found much success on this event, with his best results obtained in 2008 and 2011 when he reached the quarterfinals, but this year the Suisse has a great opportunity to go a step further. The highest ranked player on Stan’s quarter is Richard Gasquet; however, the French has been struggling with a back injury in recent weeks. Marin Cilic is another possible opponent for the Suisse yet the 2014 US Open champion has been too erratic and he’s a great match-up for Stan, who leads by 9 – 2 on h2h. As we already mentioned, Stan might face Murray at the semifinals in a very tough contest and we suggest guaranteeing a position in those two players by backing also Wawrinka at 9.00 on bet365.

 

Player To Keep An Eye On
The conditions in Indian Wells clearly suit John Isner’s serve, with his heavy kick serve being even more effective on the Californian courts where the ball bounces extremely high. John always found tremendous success on this tournament, reaching the final in 2012 and with 7 of his 8 career losses at this event occurring against top 8 opponents. Isner played at a remarkable level at Davis Cup, giving USA the victory after a triumph over Bernard Tomic where the 6’10’’ (208cm) American fired 49 aces and broke Ivo Karlovic’s record with the fastest serve on Davis Cup history at 157.2 mph (253 km/h). It won’t be easy for John to make the transition from Grass to Hard Court; however, the American won’t have to play on the first round for being one of the 32 seeded players which gives him some more days to get ready. John is on the top half of the draw where he might face Kei Nishikori, Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic. No doubts that it will be an extremely tough task for Isner to overcome these challenges, but it’s also undeniable that his price at 51.00 for the title is too high and for that reason, we advise adding him to your tennis picks.