ATP Houston Betting Analysis: Third Title for Monaco?

Joao Mourato

Monday, April 10, 2017 6:55 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 10, 2017 6:55 PM UTC

Join our tennis capper for his ATP Houston tournament analysis. Find out who the defending champion is, as well as the top seed and the player to fade for this clay-court event.

Defending Champion

The Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men’s Clay Court Championship takes place in Houston with clay as the chosen surface.

Playing in Houston brings great memories to Juan Monaco. Besides winning the title last year, Monaco is also the 2012 champion with an outstanding 14-4 career record in this event. Known for his chronic wrist pain, it’s not unusual to see Monaco not playing for several months due to that problem. For that reason, the Argentinean decided to skip the first two months of the season in order to present himself at 100%.

Taking a look now Monaco’s draw this week, the two-time champion won’t have an easy debut against the unpredictable Dustin Brown. Despite Brown’s undeniable talent, the German is not going through a good moment with five consecutive defeats on the ATP Tour. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add Monaco to your betting picks to secure a place in the 2nd round at -139 at Pinnacle. Adding to this, placing a small bet on Monaco's outright futures is also a valuable play due to his outstanding record in Houston at +1600 at BetVictor.


Top Seed

Famous for his heavy topspin forehand, the high bouncing conditions on clay are ideal for Jack Sock’s game style. This is a very special tournament for Sock with a terrific 88.89 winning pecentage in his last two appearances on this event. Due to his brilliant results in recent months, Sock is the top seed in an ATP tournament for the first time in his career.

After playing in the Davis Cup quarterfinals a few days ago in Australia, it won’t be easy for Sock to present his best tennis in the opening round. However, it’s unlikely to see Reilly Opelka or the veteran Tommy Haas defeating the No. 1 American. Feliciano Lopez is the main threat in Socks' quarter and the two might face off in the quarterfinals. Even though Lopez is always a dangerous player with his serve & volley skills, the Spaniard is far from his best after winning only 25.00% of the matches played in 2017.

Looking now at Sock’s potential opponents in the semifinals, Steve Johnson and Fernando Verdasco are the two highest-ranked players in the 2nd quarter in Houston. However, Monaco is also in that quarter and as we mentioned before, the Argentinean is always a tough player to beat here. Having said that, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of Sock's betting odds to win the title at +500 at Bet365 since we expect to see him – or the surprising Monaco – in the decisive match next Sunday.


Player To Fade

With a poor 5-6 record on the ATP Tour this season, John Isner’s golden days are long gone. Isner’s knee problems are well known with the 6-foot-10 American unable to perform at his best week after week at the age of 31. Even though Isnder won the title four years ago, his recent record in Houston is far from brilliant with only two wins in the last three appearances.

The sportsbooks consider Isner the second-favorite to win the title with Bet365 offering +550 for his victory. However, it’s impossible to trust Isner. especially in a clay-court tournament. Therefore, fading Isner throughout this tournament should be a profitable approach since it wouldn’t be surprising to see the world No. 23 losing in the early rounds in Houston. 

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