Join our expert tennis capper for his ATP Geneva tournament analysis. Find out who the undeniable favorite is, as well as the player to fade and the most valuable player to keep an eye on this clay-court event.
The Banque Eric Sturdza Geneva Open takes place in Geneva with clay as the chosen surface for this ATP 250 event.
With the French Open around the corner, Stan Wawrinka is desperately trying to get some wins under his belt. Despite his undeniable quality on this surface, Stan only won 40.00% of the matches on this year’s clay-court season. However, playing in Switzerland is always special for Wawrinka with Stan looking for his 2nd consecutive title in Geneva.
Looking now at Wawrinka’s draw on this event, the defending champion won’t have an easy task with difficult opponents on his quarter such as Sam Querrey, Joao Sousa or Tommy Robredo. Adding to this, Stan might face the clay-court expert – Albert Ramos-Vinolas – in the semifinals. Despite his lack of success in recent weeks and tough draw ahead of him, Wawrinka is the undeniable favorite to make it into the final on the top half of the draw. With this in mind, there is clear value on Stan’s betting odds to lift the trophy in Geneva at +225 at Bet365.
After playing only two events on the European clay-court season due to a wrist injury, Kei Nishikori requested a wild card to play the Geneva Open. Even though it’s not common to see the Japanese in action on the week before the Grand Slams, it’s an understandable decision from the world no.9 due to his lack of competitive rhythm in recent weeks.
Although we consider Nishikori the clear favorite on the bottom half of the draw, it’s hard to trust on Kei to leave Geneva with the title. In addition to his recent physical problems, Nishikori’s main goal is to reach Roland Garros at 100%. Therefore, it won’t be surprising to see the Japanese withdrawing from the competition if he feels any kind of pain on his wrist. Having said that, our suggestion is for you to avoid placing any bet on Nishikori’s outright at +350 at BetVictor.
Player to Fade
Against all expectations, John Isner reached the Internazionali BNL D’Italia semifinals for the first time in his career. As usual, John’s powerful serve was the key to his success with the world no.22 winning 91.30% of his service games throughout the tournament. Despite his astonishing run in Rome, it won’t be easy for the 6’10’’ American to extend his good results in Geneva.
With this in mind, our recommendation is not only to avoid placing a bet on John but to fade him on this Geneva Open since we don’t expect to see him reaching the final stages on this event.
Player to Keep an Eye
Playing in Geneva brings great memories to Joao Sousa. After reaching the final back in 2015, Sousa is looking for another successful campaign on this event. Located 1,230 ft. above sea level, Geneva provides fast game conditions to the players. Known for his outstanding counter punching skills, the fast court conditions in Geneva clearly suits Sousa’s game style.
Taking a look now at Joao’s draw on this tournament, the Portuguese starts his campaign against Rogerio Dutra Silva. Even though Dutra Silva is going through a good moment after reaching the Bordeaux Challenger Final last week, Sousa should be too strong for the Brazilian. Therefore, our advice is for you to add Sousa’s moneyline to your betting picks at -149 at BetVictor.