Day 4 serves up Round 2 the French Open & as the tennis betting odds are already trading, we are spotting some of the top matchups in the men's game where angles for profit are to be had.
How Are We doing Up To This Point: Recapping Our Picks
Before we get to our daily recommended tennis picks, let's recap on our earlier articles. We got off to a solid start with our tennis picks as Andy Murray and Gael Monfils coming through for us. Tommy Robredo proved he was in better form than we initially suspected as he dispatched Andrey Golubev. But the tennis pick we were most happy about was up-and-coming Borna Coric coming through as the +120 underdog against Sam Querrey.
Going into Tuesday's round we were 3-1 with our tennis picks. By the end of the day's action we improved to 7-2 with Nadal and Djokovic coming through in their openers, as well as Kevin Anderson. Once again, we were most pleased with our dog pick of the day: Jack Sock upsetting Grigor Dimitrov as the +250 favourite. The only tennis pick that went against us was the clash between Isner and Seppi as the American edged the italian quite comfortably. We can't win them all.
In any event, another day of tennis betting looms and the horizon. So let's get cracking with some of the toughest matches of the day that could go either way, arguably.
Benjamin Becker +1200 vs. Fernando Verdasco -2500
This tennis betting line practically leaps off the tennis betting board in our opinion, so lopsided it is when there's absolutely no reason for it to be so. While Verdasco does have the head-to-head edge over Becker, it's very slim at 4-3. What's more, Becker has won the last two meetings between the pair (both hard court), albeit four years ago.
In any event, fact is, Becker is a wily veteran. A true journeyman that plies his trade on the ATP Tour diligently. He may not be a household name, but he's upset a few of those over the course of his career. Where the shine does come off the German admittedly is on form; simply he's not won many matches this season. He arrived with a 3-11 mark to Paris. Although he's improved that to 4-11 with a win in the first round, he was forced to grind out a five setter to advance. That could send him into this second round match a touch worse for wear.
Verdasco, by contrast, has had a much better season but not a great one either. He's 15-11 coming into the French Open and reaches the second round with a straight set win over No.169 Taro Daniel. On clay, he's 5-4 before the French Open, which is a modest run albeit marred by some inexplicable results such as a three-set loss to Sam Querrey (not exactly a gazelle on clay) and a straight set loss to No. 329 Andrey Rublev.
How Verdasco emerges as the whopping -2500 favourite over Becker is incomprehensible to us. Same could be said of Becker's underdog odds that are absurdly high at +1200. He's not an underdog to take lightly and certainly not an underdog that should be priced out of the market so. Granted Verdasco should win, but Becker could win. Oh what the hey, simply because of these unjustifiable price tags, we're of the mind to give Becker's tennis odds a tickle. Potential upset is possible so Becker at +1200 to win outright could prove the savvy tennis pick.
Cooler heads thought should stick to the favourite in this game. Look at his odds to win in 3-1 or 3-2 sets. Verdasco to win in four at +300 or five at +900 tennis odds offers much better bang for your buck. If Verdasco self-combusts as he can from time to time, consider this our warning of sch a possibility.
Recommended Tennis Picks: Verdasco to win in four (+300) or five (+900) sets
Kei Nishikori -900 vs. Thomaz Bellucci +550
This is going to be the popcorn match of the day we think. Undoubtedly, Kei Nishikori deserves to be the strong favourite in this matchup. He's a top ten player that many have earmarked for future Grand Slam greatness. Nishikori's tennis odds are underscored by a solid lead up to the French Open, winning Barcelona and reaching the semis in Madrid and quarters in Rome. In those latter events, he only lost to Murray and Djokovic, two of the best players in the game.
Thomaz Bellucci, however, cuts a interesting pose as the +550 underdog. The Brazilian recently found form on clay that would belie his hefty price tag on the tennis odds board. There's also just the one meeting between this pair that Bellucci won in three sets, albeit in 2007 at the lower level.
During the European clay-court swing the left-handed Bellucci totted up a 14-5 record on clay, which includes a win in Geneva last weekend. At the Masters in Rome, he also managed to take a set off Djokovic, which, let's face it, is no mean feat. What this amounts to is confidence. Is it going to be enough though to upset the odds makers' favourite. It's very possible.
Tennis Picks: Bellucci to win at +550
Wawrinka -1400 vs. Lajovic +800
Lajovic is an interesting prospect. While predicting the upset in this matchup might be overzealous, he's a player that can take it to Stan on clay. They met once in Davis Cup action last year, so the familiarity is going to be helpful. What makes the Serbian worth consideration is his form on clay that stands at a modest 11-8 this season and includes wins over Fernando Verdasco, Pablo Carreno Busta, Borna Coric and Thanasi Kokkinakis, amongst several others. The point being made here is that he plies his trade so far mostly on clay and that makes him a dangerous floater in our books. Can he upset Wawrinka? To be fair, we can't rule out that possibility. So worth a tickle, perhaps, for the brave tennis bettor. That said Wawrinka should win this match. No need to wax lyrical about the guy who recently beat Nadal in Rome is there? Albeit at -1400 tennis odds, there's no joy. Better money is found on a four or five set win by the Swiss, trading at +275 and +850 respectively.
Recommended Tennis Picks: Wawrinka to win in four at +275 or five at +850