Join us on our ATP French Open tournament analysis. Find out who the undeniable favorite is, as well as the player to fade and the most valuable players to keep an eye on this event.
The French Open takes place in Paris with clay as the chosen surface for the 2nd Grand Slam of the season.
The nine-time champion – Rafael Nadal – is once again the undeniable favorite to leave Paris with the title. Playing in Roland Garros brings great memories to Nadal with the Spaniard winning 97.30% of the matches played throughout his career on this event. Besides his phenomenal record in Roland Garros, the world no.4 couldn’t ask for a better European clay-court season after winning the title in Monte Carlo, Barcelona, and Madrid.
Although we agree with Nadal’s favoritism, it’s hard to find any value on his current betting odds to lift the trophy at -110 at William Hill. On the other hand, BetVictor presents a very interesting market for any other player to win the title in Paris other than Nadal at -105.
Player to Fade
Andy Murray’s shocking form continues with the world no.1 winning only 55.56% of the matches on red dirt in 2017. In addition to his poor form, Murray has also been struggling with a virus in the past few days.
Andy couldn’t ask for a better draw in Roland Garros since Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic are on the other half of the draw. However, it’s hard to trust on Murray at the moment due to his terrible performances in recent weeks. Adding to this, the 2016 runner-up won’t have an easy task in Paris with very dangerous players on his quarter such as Juan Martin Del Potro, Alexander Zverev or Kei Nishikori.
With this in mind, our suggestion is not only to avoid placing any bet on Andy’s outright at +1600 at Pinnacle but to fade him also throughout the tournament since it’s highly unlikely to see Murray reaching the final stages in Roland Garros.
The 2nd quarter is without any doubt the one that presents more value for future betting. Let’s take a look now at the two most valuable players to reach the final rounds in Paris.
At the age of 32, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga is going through a fantastic moment in his career. Tsonga couldn’t ask for a better result before this tournament after winning the ATP Lyon last week. In addition to his brilliant 72.97% winning record in his home country, Tsonga is a two-time Roland Garros semifinalist.
The 2015 French Open champion – Stan Wawrinka – is the main favorite to win the 2nd quarter in Paris. Known as a big match player, Stan holds a phenomenal 57 – 10 record on Grand Slam events since 2014. Besides his astonishing record in Majors, Wawrinka arrives in Paris after winning the ATP Geneva for the 2nd consecutive year.
Taking a look now at the other players on the 2nd quarter, Nick Kyrgios, Marin Cilic and Gael Monfils are the main threats on Tsonga and Stan’s path. While Kyrgios and Monfils have been struggling with physical problems in recent weeks, Cilic is far from a clay-court expert with a poor 16 – 10 career record in Roland Garros.
Since we expect to see one of these two players in the semifinals, our recommendation is for you to split your stake among them to win the 2nd quarter with Wawrinka is currently available at +225 at Coral while Bet365 offers +750 for Tsonga to reach the semifinals.