ATP Estoril Betting Analysis & Free Winning Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Tuesday, April 26, 2016 3:24 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 26, 2016 3:24 PM UTC

Join us while we analyze the ATP Estoril Main Draw, the only ATP event that takes place in Portugal. Find out the main contenders and the most valuable players to place a tennis pick on.

ATP Estoril

The Millenium Estoril Open takes place in Estoril and will be played on Clay.


Main Contenders
Estoril is a very special place for Nick Kyrgios, with the Australian reaching his first ATP career final last year on this event. After a disappointing early loss last year at the ATP Barcelona, Nick decided to skip that event this season and start his clay court campaign in Portugal. Kyrgios is the highest ranked player on bottom half of the draw and his chances of reaching another final are very high. The Australian shouldn’t experience any problems on his debut against Inigo Cervantes or Daniel Munoz De La Nava.

At the quarterfinals, the highest ranked player Nick can face is Borna Coric but once again, Kyrgios should be too good for his opponent. On the semifinals João Sousa, Nicolas Almagro or Leonardo are some of the opponents Kyrgios might face and even though his opponents’ quality, the Australian should book a place on his second ATP Estoril final. Nick should play this event with a good mindset and due to the good draw he has, we believe there is value on Kyrgios for the title at 3.50 on bet365 and we suggest adding him to your tennis picks.

Gilles Simon returns to Estoril, with his previous appearance in 2011 where he lost against Milos Raonic at the quarterfinals. Gilles is known for some lack of effort on lower ATP events that took place outside French soil. Last year for example, Simon played two tournaments in ATP 250 events as 1st seed – Bucharest and Winston-Salem – winning only one match in those two events. It’s highly unlikely to see Simon playing this event with a good mindset and even though he has a good draw to reach the latter stages of the competition, we simply can’t trust on the French to win the title at 5.00 on bet365.

One of the other main contenders for the title is also French, Benoit Paire. His previous appearance in Portugal took place in 2013, when this event was played in Oeiras and Paire suffered a second round loss against Victor Hanescu. The last weeks have been very good for Benoit and there are absolutely no doubts about his tremendous quality yet, he’s an extremely inconsistent player and it might be too difficult for him to keep a high level for a third consecutive week. As it happened with his fellow countryman Simon, we can’t trust on Benoit to be at his best on this event and for that reason, we recommend you to avoid placing a bet on Paire at 6.00 on bet365.


Player to keep an eye on
For the third consecutive year, Leonardo Mayer will compete on this event, with his best result achieved in 2014 when he reached the quarterfinals. After a disappointing first round loss at the Miami Open against Damir Dzumhur, Mayer was forced to withdraw from the Monte Carlo Masters due to a right shoulder injury. Mayer will start his campaign against the wild card Pedro Sousa and he should face Paolo Lorenzi in the following round.

Even though Leonardo is returning from injury, this is a good draw from the Argentinean that can face at the quarterfinals Nicolas Almagro or João Sousa, two players who haven’t been at their best in recent weeks. On the semifinals Nick Kyrgios might be too good for the Argentinean however, Mayer tennis odds at 26.00 on bet365 present good value. Our suggestion for this match is to place a bet on Mayer outright and guarantee profit before a possible semifinals clash against Kyrgios.

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