ATP Estoril Betting Analysis & Free Tennis Picks

Joao Mourato

Tuesday, May 2, 2017 7:38 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 2, 2017 7:38 PM UTC

Join our expert tennis capper for his ATP Estoril tournament analysis. Find out who the undeniable favorite is as well as the players to keep an eye on this event. 

ATP Estoril

The Millenium Estoril Open takes place in Estoril on clay as the chosen surface for this ATP 250 tournament.


Undeniable Favorite

The two-time champion – Juan Martin Del Potro – remains undefeated in Portuguese soil. Despite not playing on clay since May 2016, Del Potro started his campaign in Estoril with an easy 6 – 1 6 – 3 win over Yuichi Sugita. Due to Juan Martin’s outstanding career record on this event, he’s the undeniable favorite to lift the trophy with Bet365 offering +200 for the Argentinean to leave Estoril with the title.

After a good performance on his debut against Sugita, Del Potro shouldn’t experience any major problems in the following round against Ryan Harrison. Despite Harrison’s good results in 2017, clay is far from his favorite surface with the American winning only 37.14% of the matches played throughout his career on the red dirt in Europe.

Looking now at Del Potro’s potential opponents in the quarter-finals, David Ferrer is the highest ranked player on his quarter. Even though David was never an easy opponent for the Argentinean with a 6 – 4 lead on the h2h, Ferrer is no longer the same player and it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Spaniard ending his career this year.

Pablo Carreno Busta and Nicolas Almagro are the main threats on Del Potro’s path in the semifinals. Despite their undeniable quality, the 2009 US Open champion should be too strong for any of them. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of Del Potro’s betting odds by placing a bet on the Argentinean to win his 3rd career title in Estoril at +200 with Bet365.


Defending Champion

Playing in Portugal is always special for Nicolas Almagro with the Spaniard presenting an outstanding 8 – 1 record since this tournament moved to Estoril back in 2015. Even though Almagro’s glorious days are long gone, the former world no.9 is still a world class player on this surface.  After winning the title last season, Almagro couldn’t ask for a better way to start his campaign on this year’s edition. Despite facing one of the most talented players on the ATP World Tour, Benoit Paire couldn’t find the answer to Almagro’s solid baseline game. Besides not facing a single break point throughout the entire match, Nicolas won 43.59% of the points played on Paire’s serve.

Taking a look now at Almagro’s draw in Estoril, the defending champion won’t have an easy task in the following round against the home favorite – Gastão Elias. Despite Elias’ recent improvements, the last months haven’t been easy for the Portuguese with Gastão winning only 27.27% of the matches played on the ATP World Tour in 2017. With this in mind, Almagro should be too strong for the home player, which makes him a valuable play for the ATP Estoril 2nd round at -161 with Pinnacle.


Player to Keep an Eye

After reaching the Estoril Open final in 2007 and 2015, Richard Gasquet is trying to go a step further this season. Despite his disappointing defeat in the ATP Barcelona opening round against Yuichi Sugita, Gasquet claimed to be in very good conditions to compete on this event.

Gasquet starts his campaign this Wednesday against the 2014 champion – Carlos Berlocq. Even though Berlocq is never an easy opponent on this surface, Gasquet is a terrible match-up for the Argentinean. Besides winning their previous four meetings, Richard dismissed Berlocq earlier this season in Melbourne by 6 – 1 6 – 1 6 – 1. Having said that, our recommendation is for you to add Gasquet to your betting picks to secure a place in the quarterfinals at -222 with Pinnacle.

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