ATP Doha Semifinals Top Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic vs. Tomas Berdych

João Mourato

Friday, January 8, 2016 12:07 AM GMT

For our ATP Doha semifinals top tennis pick, we've selected the world no.1 match. Find out who is Djokovic's opponent and also our best tennis bet for that contest.

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Tennis Pick: Over 20.0 (+100)

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Despite experiencing some more problems at quarterfinals, Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal advanced into semifinals and are now just one game away from facing each other. As we predicted in our ATP Doha quarterfinals preview, Andrey Kuznetsov was a very tough opponent, forcing Nadal to a third set, while Djokovic also had to work hard in order to overcome Leonardo Mayer.

 

Novak Djokovic (1) vs. Tomas Berdych (3)
After starting his campaign with two easy victories, Novak Djokovic had some problems on his quarterfinals match against Leonardo Mayer. The Argentinean played extremely aggressive, producing outstanding winners with his groundstrokes, but couldn’t keep the required consistency to beat a player like Djokovic. Despite finding himself a break down on both sets, Djokovic raised his level to emerge victorious in straight sets. As we referred in our tournament analysis, Novak is not as solid on lower ATP events as he is on Masters and Grand Slams. There are no doubts that the Serbian wants to win the title, but is hard for him to find the proper motivation in order to produce his best tennis.

The 2015 ATP Doha runner-up, Tomas Berdych, will try to reach his second straight final on this event. The Czech has an outstanding forehand and is able to his some blistering winners with that shot, however he’s also known for his up and downs, but this week he’s been quite consistent overall. After a slow start against Sergiy Stakhovsky, Berdych had two solid victories against Damir Dzumhur and Kyle Edmund, losing an average of 4.5 games on those two encounters. The weakest aspect of his game this week is the serve, not getting as many first serves and he usually does. This week Berdych got 0.57 aces, 0.21 double faults and 50.7% first serve in, while on last 12 months he averaged 0.61 aces, 0.17 double faults and 56.5% first serve in.

Djokovic has a massive edge over Berdych with 21 – 2 on h2h, with Tomas never winning a single match on Hard Court to the Serbian.

Novak is the undeniable favorite for this match, but it might not be as easy as his tennis odds suggest. Djokovic struggled against Mayer’s powerful groundstrokes and Berdych’s forehand has been quite sharp all week. They played four times last year and Berdych was always a tough opponent winning a set on two of those matches and losing the other two by 6 – 7 6 – 7 and 3 – 6 5 – 7. As we did in our previous tennis pick, we suggest splitting your stake in Berdych spread and the Over. Berdych can be very inconsistent and last year’s match at Dubai is a good example with Djokovic winning 6 – 0 5 – 7 6 – 4. If you only want to place those two bets, we advise to select the Over to your tennis picks.