ATP Chengdu Betting Analysis & Free Tennis Picks

Joao Mourato

Tuesday, September 26, 2017 2:54 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 26, 2017 2:54 PM UTC

Join our expert tennis capper for his ATP Chengdu tournament analysis. Find out who the main contender is, as well as the player to fade and to keep an eye on this Hard Court event.

ATP Chengdu

The Chengdu Open takes place in Chengdu with Hard Court as the chosen surface for this ATP 250 events.


Undeniable Favorite

The world no.7 – Dominic Thiem – continues to pursue his first ever title on Asia. After a disappointing defeat against Albert Ramos-Vinolas at the 2016 Chengdu Open quarterfinals, the Austrian is looking for a better campaign this week. Adding to this, Thiem is the only top-20 player in action on this event. For that reason, it’s not surprising to see Dominic as the undeniable favorite to lift the trophy in Chengdu at +225 at BetVictor.

Even though we agree with Thiem’s favoritism, it won’t be easy for the no.1 seed to present his best tennis on this event after a very demanding weekend on Laver Cup. On the other hand, the 24-year-old holds a terrible 51.43% winning record on Asia while his overall record is 63.90%. Therefore, our advice is for you to avoid placing any bet on Thiem’s outright due to the lack of value on his current odds.


Player to Fade

Against all expectations, Karen Khachanov won his first ATP World Tour title at the 2016 Chengdu Open. Despite his brilliant run, the last months haven’t been easy for Khachanov with the Russian winning only 51.92% of the matches played in 2017. On the other hand, the 21-year-old arrives in Chengdu after two very tough losses at the Davis Cup play-offs against Hungary.

Besides his lack of success in recent weeks, Khachanov won’t have an easy task on his debut against Denis Istomin. Adding to this, Denis started his campaign in Chengdu with an impressive straight sets win over Jan-Lennard Struff. Having said that, our suggestion is for you to add Istomin’s moneyline to your betting picks at +186 at Pinnacle due to the tremendous value on the Uzbek’s current price.


Player to Keep an Eye

Playing in Chengdu brings great memories to Albert Ramos-Vinolas. After reaching his first ATP World Tour hard-court final at the Chengdu Open last season, the 29-year-old is trying to go a step further on this year’s edition. Known as one of the most consistent players in the game, the slower court conditions in Chengdu are perfect for Ramos-Vinolas’ game style.

Taking a look now at Albert’s draw on this event, the 2016 runner-up starts his campaign this Wednesday against Dusan Lajovic. Despite Lajovic’s unquestionable quality, Ramos-Vinolas is far from an easy match-up for the Serbian. In addition to Albert’s 2 – 0 lead on the h2h, the Spaniard’s left-handed high spinning forehand is extremely effective against one-handed backhand players like Lajovic. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of the value on Ramos-Vinolas’ tennis betting odds by placing a bet on the world no.25 to secure a place in the following round at -133 at BetOnline.

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