ATP Buenos Aires & Rotterdam Semifinals Top Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Friday, February 12, 2016 11:14 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 12, 2016 11:14 PM UTC

Join us while we provide the highest value tennis bets for ATP Buenos Aires and Rotterdam semifinals. Find out what the best plays are and why you should add those to your betting picks.

Nicolas Mahut (q) vs. Martin Klizan
Since early age, Nicolas Mahut was pointed as one of the most talented players of his generation, but several physical problems prevented him from having a better career. Despite being 34 years old, Mahut has been playing his best tennis in recent years, with all his three ATP titles won after he turned 30. The French loves to play on fast surfaces, where his serve & volley is extremely effective and this week Nicolas has been phenomenal, reaching this stage without dropping a single set. Mahut has been serving at an outstanding level on this event, winning 98% of his service games and saving 96% of break points.

It has been a terrific week for Martin Klizan, with the Slovakian winning three matches as underdog. Martin is always a dangerous player with his powerful left-handed forehand; however, he’s also known as one of the most inconsistent players on tour. There’s obvious merit in Klizan’s path this week, but is important to mention that he faced one player in clear decline, Tommy Robredo, and two players struggling with physical issues – Marcos Baghdatis and Roberto Bautista Agut.

This will be the second career meeting between these two players, with Mahut winning the previous one in 2012 at Roland Garros.

Both players have three ATP 250 titles on their record, but this is a great opportunity for them to reach their first ATP 500 final. Klizan had a monumental battle on semifinals against Bautista Agut, saving 5 match points and emerging victorious after almost three hours on court. On the other hand, Mahut had an easy victory over Troicki and is also mentally stronger than Klizan. The Slovakian can produce some great passing shots with the forehand, but he’s not so accurate with his backhand and Mahut should explore that, by rushing into the net after hitting a slice backhand down the line. With this in mind, we suggest adding the French to your tennis picks.

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Free Tennis Pick: Nicolas Mahut ML (-106)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


Rafael Nadal (1) vs. Dominic Thiem (5)
Despite not playing his best tennis on first rounds, Rafael Nadal found a way to overcome Juan Monaco and Paolo Lorenzi in straight sets, with the Spaniard raising his level on pressure points. Nadal is looking for his second consecutive title in Buenos Aires and as we mentioned in our tournament preview, we believe he should grab the trophy.

We picked Dominic Thiem as the player to keep an eye on, predicting his presence on this semifinals. We also took the Austrian’s spread on his quarterfinals match against Dusan Lajovic and he covered it with a 6 – 4 6 – 2 victory. Dominic loves to play on clay, with this surface providing the time he needs to prepare his massive groundstrokes. The Austrian is also a terrific defender, with remarkable sliding skills on clay.

This will be their second encounter, with Nadal taking the victory in the previous one at Roland Garros in 2014 by 6 – 2 6 – 2 6 – 3.

This won’t be an easy match for Nadal, the Spaniard will try to explore Thiem’s one-handed backhand with his crossed forehand, but the Austrian is a great defender and should create many problems to Rafael. We believe Nadal will emerge victorious on this contest, however the value on this match is clearly on Thiem and for that reason, we advise to take advantage of the Austrian’s valuable tennis odds by betting on Thiem's set handicap.

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Free Tennis Pick: Dominic Thiem +1.5 Set Handicap (+137)
Best Line Offered: at PaddyPower

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