ATP Buenos Aires & Rotterdam Quarterfinals Top Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Thursday, February 11, 2016 7:11 PM GMT

Thursday, Feb. 11, 2016 7:11 PM GMT

Join us while we analyze the ATP Buenos Aires and Rotterdam quarterfinals. Find out our top tennis picks and the highest value bookmakers to place your bets.

Dusan Lajovic vs Dominic Thiem (5)
Despite being far from brilliant on his second round match, Dominic Thiem recovered from a set down against the Portuguese qualifier, Gastão Elias. We picked the Austrian as the player to keep an eye on this event and he’s now just one match away from a possible semifinals clash against Rafael Nadal. Dominic said he was very pleased with that tough victory, especially because he was far from his best.

With his first career victory over a top 20 opponent, Dusan Lajovic defeated John Isner in a thrilling contest by 7 – 6 4 – 6 7 – 6. Lajovic played a very solid match, taking advantage of his opportunities and performing at great level under pressure. This will be Dusan’s 7th career appearance on the quarterfinals of an ATP event, but the Serbian was never able to go a step further.

This will be the second career meeting between these two players, with Thiem winning the previous match last year at Umag.

After such a tough victory against Isner, it will be extremely hard for Lajovic to keep the same level, while Thiem should raise his game for this contest. On this lower ATP events, the players’ motivation is always questionable, however Dominic showed all his determination with a remarkable comeback after saving match point with an ace. Thiem should be too good on baseline rallies and there isn’t much Lajovic can do against the Austrian. With this in mind, we’ll add Thiem’s spread to our tennis picks for this match.

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Free Tennis Pick: Dominic Thiem -4 (+104)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Marin Cilic (2)
We mentioned in our tournament preview, that Marin Cilic hasn’t been producing high quality tennis; however, the Croatian overcame Gilles Muller with his best season performance. Cilic played extremely solid from the baseline, ending that match with 29 winners / 9 unforced errors. Adding to this, the 2014 US Open champion raised his level under pressure to defeat the Luxembourgian in two tie breaks.

Known as one of the most talented players on tour, Philipp Kohlschreiber will be looking for his first ATP Rotterdam semifinals, after losing twice on this event’s quarterfinals. Despite Kohlschreiber’s undeniable quality, his inconsistency is the main reason for his lack of success on Indoor Hard Court, with the German winning only 50.75% of his games on this conditions, while his overall career winning record is 56.57%. This will be Philipp’s first real test this week, after two comfortable victories against Julien Benneteau and Ivan Dodig.

Kohlschreiber leads on h2h by 5 – 3, but they haven’t faced since 2012. It’s also important to mention that Cilic won two of their three previous meetings on Indoor Hard Court.

This should be a high quality match between two great players, but the fast court conditions clearly benefit Cilic’s powerful serve. The Croatian won all his service games this week, which gives him a tremendous confidence on baseline rallies. As we already mentioned, Marin played at an outstanding level against Muller and it will be incredibly hard for Kohlschreiber to break him. On the other hand, and as we also referred, Philipp struggles to perform at a consistent level and that should be fatal against such a dangerous player like Cilic. Having said that, we suggest taking advantage of Cilic’s tennis odds value with the following split: Marin Cilic set handicap and spread.

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Free Tennis Pick: Marin Cilic -1.5 Set Handicap (+162) & Marin Cilic -2.5 (-104)
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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