ATP Basel Semifinals Top Tennis Pick: Rafael Nadal vs. Richard Gasquet

João Mourato

Friday, October 30, 2015 9:23 PM GMT

Nadal will be looking to extend his dominance over Gasquet this Saturday. Join us while we analyze this match and provide the highest value tennis pick on it.

Rafael Nadal (3) vs. Richard Gasquet (5)
It was another massive comeback from Rafael Nadal, this time against Marin Cilic. The Spaniard was 4 – 6 0 – 2 down against one of the best servers on tour but started to play more solid while Cilic dropped the level and committed too many unforced errors.

Despite not playing his best tennis, Nadal has improved his level, match after match, and is very determined in reaching his first Indoor Hard Court final since ATP World Tour Finals in 2013.

Richard Gasquet survived after a very close contest against Ivo Karlovic, winning that match by 6 – 4 6 – 7 7 – 6. The French fired some outstanding passing shots on third set tie break against Karlovic, but keeps playing extremely passive tennis and giving  many opportunities to his opponents. The stats show how passive Gasquet was, ending the match against Ivo with 29 winners / 5 unforced errors while Karlovic got 55 winners / 32 unforced errors.

Nadal is just a nightmare for Gasquet, the Spaniard leads h2h 13 – 1 and that loss was in 2003 in a match where Nadal retired.

There isn’t much Gasquet can do from the baseline, his passive style doesn’t create problems to Nadal and the French doesn’t win a set against this opponent since 2008. Although Nadal isn’t performing at his best, he has been raising the level and should be too good for Richard. Once again, we should see Nadal using his crossed forehand to explore his opponent one-handed backhand.

Nadal’s price for this match is the highest by far if we look at their previous matches and there is very good value on it. We’ll add to our tennis picks on this contest the value on Nadal spread tennis odds.

Tennis Pick: Rafael Nadal -3 (+102) at Pinnacle