ATP Australian Open Semifinals Top Value Tennis Picks Of The Day

João Mourato

Thursday, January 28, 2016 1:29 PM GMT

Join us and find out our two top betting selections for ATP Australian Open Semifinals. We'll provide a detailed analysis, explaining why you should grab these two valuable tennis picks. 

Milos Raonic (13) vs. Andy Murray (2)
For the second time on his career, Milos Raonic will play a Grand Slam semifinal, after losing the previous in 2014 at Wimbledon against Roger Federer. It has been a great start of year for Milos, showing clear signs of improvement on his movement. The biggest improvement on Raonic’s game is his net game, with the Canadian rushing much more often to the net. On the other hand, Milos hasn’t fired as many aces as before, averaging only 0.93 per service game on this event, while his career average on Hard Court is 1.18 aces.

It hasn’t been an easy tournament for Andy Murray, with several things outside tennis affecting him. Her wife Kim, who is usually on the stands cheering for him, is waiting their first child, while his father in law Nigel Sears collapsed during Ivanovic’s match and had to be taken to the hospital. Fortunately, he recovered and Murray seemed also more focused on his tennis. Andy said that his previous match against Ferrer was his best performance on this event, with the world no.2 dismissing the Spaniard in four sets.

These players will face for the 7th time, with a 3 – 3 tie on h2h, however Andy won the previous two matches and also emerged victorious on their previous Grand Slam match at the US Open in 2012.

Milos is playing the best tennis of his career and is looking for his first Grand Slam final, however this match-up is not the best for him. The Canadian will face one of the best returners on tour and as we mentioned, he’s not hitting as many aces as he used to. Andy also loves to have his opponents at the net to hit some outstanding passing shots and it won’t be easy for Milos to keep the same aggressive level. Raonic might give a good fight, however Murray should emerge victorious in four sets. With this in mind, we suggest to take advantage of Murray’s tennis odds with the following split: Andy’s spread and -1.5 Set Handicap.

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Free Tennis Pick: Andy Murray -3.5 (-115) & Andy Murray -1.5 Set Handicap (-125)
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Novak Djokovic (1) vs. Roger Federer (3)
After needing five sets to defeat Gilles Simon on the 4th round, Novak Djokovic raised the level to dismiss Kei Nishikori in straight sets. Djokovic played a very solid match, with his baseline consistency being too much for Nishikori to handle. The Japanese struggled to overplay the Serbian, ending the match with 31 winners / 54 unforced errors. Novak said he was very pleased with his performance, especially the way he played on pressure points.

The four-time Australian Open champion, Roger Federer, will be looking for his first final on this event since 2010. It has been a solid tournament for Federer, with the Suisse losing only one set against Grigor Dimitrov on the third round. As we mentioned in our ATP Day 9 Best Value Picks, Roger’s one-handed backhand is his weakest shot and against Berdych the Suisse clearly struggled with that shot, ending with 2 winners / 14 unforced errors.

This will be the 45th chapter on this epic rivalry, with both players winning 22 matches so far, however Djokovic has clear edge on recent years, winning five of their last six meetings on Grand Slam competitions.

Despite winning some matches against Djokovic on ATP 500 and Masters 1000 in recent years, Federer hasn’t been able to overcome this opponent in Grand Slam events. Not only the longer matches suit Djokovic, but the Serbian also shows up at his best level on these tournaments. Djokovic is probably the best returner on tour and Federer struggles to keep the same effectiveness at the net. If we look at their previous match at the US Open last year, Roger played 59 points at the net, winning 66% of those in much faster conditions than the ones in Melbourne. This time in slower conditions, it will be very difficult for him to keep his net points won above 65%. Federer might give a good fight to Djokovic, especially in the first two sets, but the Serbian should once again emerge victorious and we’ll add his spread to our tennis picks.

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Free Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic -3.5 (-123)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle