ATP Australian Open Final Top Play: Novak Djokovic vs. Andy Murray

João Mourato

Friday, January 29, 2016 9:07 PM GMT

Friday, Jan. 29, 2016 9:07 PM GMT

We’ll have a re-edition of last year’s Australian Open final, with Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray competing for the trophy. Join us while we analyze thrilling final and provide the highest value tennis bet.

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Free Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic -6 (-108)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Novak Djokovic (1) vs. Andy Murray (2)
The five-time Australian Open champion, Novak Djokovic, is just one game away from his sixth title on this event. The Plexicushion courts in Melbourne suit Djokovic’s game style, with the Serbian being almost invincible on these game conditions. It has been a solid tournament from Djokovic, with his main difficulties occurring on the 4th round against Gilles Simon, where Novak needed five sets to overcome that opponent. After that, Djokovic raised his game level, defeating Kei Nishikori in straight sets and outplaying Roger Federer in one of his best career performances.

This will be Andy Murray’s fifth career final at the Australian Open, but the world no.2 never won any of those previous decisive matches in Melbourne.  The British didn’t experience any major problems until semifinals, where he had a tougher challenge against David Ferrer, but his hardest match occurred in the semifinals, where Murray recovered from 1 – 2 down against Milos Raonic.

This will be the 31st contest between these two players, with Djokovic leading 21 – 9 on h2h. The Serbian has dominated the recent matches, winning 10 of their last 11 meetings. Adding to that, Djokovic has also a great historical edge over Murray on these courts, winning all previous four contests against Andy at the Australian Open.

Murray is a tremendous competitor and won’t go down without a fight, but Djokovic should be too good for him. Andy’s second serve is always a vulnerable part of his game, with the British player averaging 90.83 mph (146.17 km/h) on his second serve, while Djokovic fired his second service at an average of 95.19 mph (153.2 km/h). The matches between these two are always extremely tough, with long baseline rallies turning out to be too demanding for Murray. In their previous four matches at the Australian Open, the British couldn’t keep up with Djokovic’s level, losing last year for example by 6 – 7 7 – 6 3 – 6 0 – 6. Andy can give a good fight in the first two sets, however Djokovic’s baseline consistency and intensity turns out to be too much for Murray to handle. With this in mind, we’ll add Djokovic’s spread as our top tennis pick for this match, taking advantage of the Serbian’s tennis odds value in this contest. It’s also important to mention, that Novak covered this spread in three of their four meetings in Melbourne, while the bet was void in the other contest.

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