ATP Australian Open Day 9: Best Value Tennis Picks Of The Day

João Mourato

Sunday, January 24, 2016 6:46 PM GMT

Sunday, Jan. 24, 2016 6:46 PM GMT

The quarterfinals get underway this Tuesday, with four players remain on top half of the draw. Join us and find out our ATP Australian Open Day 9 best valuable tennis picks.

Novak Djokovic (1) vs. Kei Nishikori (7)
With one of his worst performances in recent years, Novak Djokovic was close from elimination against Gilles Simon, but managed to overcome the French in five tough sets. The Serbian ended the match with 100 unforced errors, but still found a way to emerge victorious after 4:30 hours on court. Despite playing far from his best, Djokovic mentioned that he was very pleased with the way he served, which allow him to save 14 of 18 break points throughout the match.

After struggling in the previous round against Guillermo Garcia-Lopez, Kei Nishikori found no troubles in his match against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, dismissing the French in straight sets. The Japanese performed at a very high level, breaking his opponent five times and ending the contest with 31 winners / 25 unforced errors. Kei received medical timeout for his wrist on the match against Garcia-Lopez, but he seemed recovered and said he was feeling very good physically.

Their last match on a Grand Slam was in 2014 at the US Open, where Nishikori surprised the Serbian in four sets, however Novak leads the h2h by 5 – 2, with their last match being play at the ATP World Tour Finals in 2015 where Djokovic won by 6 – 1 6 – 1.

After such a terrible performance, Djokovic will try to bounce back with a better performance, but it won’t be easy against such a dangerous opponent like Nishikori. The Japanese can bother the Serbian with his terrific ball striking skills, but is hard for him to keep a consistent level to overcome such a challenge like Djokovic. Despite making 100 unforced errors on his previous match, Novak still found a way to win and that’s the quality of a true champion, being able to find the victory on a bad day. Djokovic should win once again against this opponent, but won’t be an easy match and Nishikori has weapons to steal one set. With this in mind, we suggest to add Nishikori’s set handicap to your tennis picks.

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Free Tennis Pick: Kei Nishikori +2.5 Set Handicap (-123)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Roger Federer (3) vs. Tomas Berdych (6)
Roger Federer keeps his good level in Melbourne, defeating David Goffin in three easy sets. Federer’s serve has been outstanding throughout the tournament, winning 94.8% of his service games. It hasn’t been an easy draw for Roger, facing talented players like Alexandr Dolgopolov, Grigor Dimitrov or Goffin, but the Suisse has been playing at very good level, always looking for an opportunity to rush into the net.

With a much tougher match than we expected, Tomas Berdych managed to overcome Roberto Bautista Agut in five tough sets. The Czech had many break point opportunities, however was only able to convert 4 out of 22. The courts in Melbourne suit Berdych’s game style, with the higher bounce allowing Tomas to hit the ball in perfect height and that’s one of the reasons why he performs so consistent on this event, reaching the quarterfinals for the 6th consecutive year.

Despite leading 15 – 6 on h2h, this is never an easy match for Federer, with 4 – 2 on the matches played at Grand Slams. Their last meeting at the Australian Open was in 2009, with Roger recovering from two sets down to get the victory.

This should be a closer match than Federer’s tennis odds indicate, with Berdych’s powerful groundstrokes creating problems to the Suisse. Federer has been extremely aggressive, rushing into the net as often as possible. However, the Czech should take the upper hand from the baseline, exploring Roger’s weaker one-handed backhand with his inside-out forehand. Having said that, we suggest to grab the Over in a match that should have at least four sets and one tie break.

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Free Tennis Pick: Over 37.5 (-104)
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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