ATP Australian Open Day 2: Main Spreads & Tennis Odds Analysis

João Mourato

Sunday, January 17, 2016 3:55 PM GMT

Sunday, Jan. 17, 2016 3:55 PM GMT

Find out who are the main contenders to get in action on ATP Australian Open Day 2. Join us while we analyze their spread and provide the best tennis picks.

Alexander Zverev vs. Andy Murray (2)
The four-time Australian Open runner-up, Andy Murray, will make his debut against Alexander Zverev.

Zverev is a former junior world no.1 and Australian Open junior champion. Despite being only 18 years old, Alexander is already ranked on top 100 and is one of the most promising players on ATP. The German is part of a new generation of players, who can keep a great baseline movement despite being very tall – 6’6’’ (198 cm).

As we mentioned in our tournament preview, Murray is the main favorite on bottom half of the draw. Andy hasn’t dropped a set on his opening match since 2012, but he had to fight hard last year to defeat Yuki Bhambri by 6 – 3 6 – 4 7 – 6.

This will be the first official match between these two players, after their recent contest at the Hopman Cup, where Murray won 6 – 3 6 – 4. Alexander is a great competitor and he should create problems to Andy with his powerful serve and outstanding backhand. Murray’s spread is at -9.0 (+102) on Pinnacle and won’t be easy for him to cover this line. It won’t be surprised to see Zverev struggling to keep a consistent level and losing one set by a big margin – like it happened at the US Open last year against Philipp Kohlschreiber, where he lost 7 – 6 2 – 6 0 – 6 6 – 2 4 – 6 – however the line seems very well placed and we suggest to skip this spread.

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Rafael Nadal (5) vs. Fernando Verdasco
Rafael Nadal and Fernando Verdasco will meet again at the Australian Open, where they had an epic five sets battle back in 2009.

There are no doubts about Verdasco’s quality; however, he hasn’t been able to perform at his best in recent years. Fernando is known for his blistering groundstrokes, but also for being mentally fragile and unable to produce his best tennis under pressure.

Nadal started the year at good level, winning the Abu Dhabi Exibithion tournament and reaching the ATP Doha final, where an impressive Novak Djokovic defeated him. The recent months have been a big boost to Rafael’s confidence and he’ll be looking to extend the good results in Melbourne.

The matches between these two players are always very interesting, with Verdasco trying to overplay Nadal’s baseline consistency. Both like to control the rallies with their left-handed forehand, which makes this an exciting match-up to watch. Nadal leads 15 – 2 on h2h, with Fernando winning two of the last three meetings. The spread for this match is at -6.5 (-119) at Pinnacle and despite the recent victories from Verdasco, we believe Nadal can cover it. Fernando might even won one set, but he’s too inconsistent and Nadal should win at least one set by a big margin, like it happened on their previous match at Hamburg, where Rafa won by 3 – 6 6 – 1 6 – 1. The Over might also be an interesting bet on this match, but our suggestion is to add Nadal spread to your tennis picks.

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Dmitry Tursunov vs. Stan Wawrinka (4)
The 2014 Australian Open champion, Stan Wawrinka, will start his campaign against Dmitry Tursunov.

The former world no. 20, Tursunov, used the protected ranking system to get a place on Australian Open main draw. The Russian is currently without ranking, after several months away from tour due to a foot injury.

After starting the year with his 4th ATP Chennai title, Wawrinka will be looking for another good run on this event. The Suisse loves the conditions in Melbourne and it will be extremely hard for anyone to stop him.

Given Tursunov’s long absence from tour and lack of competitive rhythm, is expected a clean victory from Wawrinka. However, the Suisse hasn’t produced overwhelming performances on Grand Slams in recent years. The spread for this match is at -9.5 (+104) on Pinnacle and if we look at the Suisse performances in majors since 2014, he was only able to cover this handicap in 4 out of 34 matches. Stan should win this in straight sets, however he might play at least one tie break and for that reason we advise to avoid betting on his spread. On the other hand, the Over tennis odds seem to be more valuable for this match.

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