ATP Australian Open 2018: Can Roger Federer retain his title in Melbourne?

João Mourato

Saturday, January 13, 2018 10:11 AM UTC

Saturday, Jan. 13, 2018 10:11 AM UTC

Sportsbook Review breakdown the draw for the ATP Australian Open 2018. Find out who the main contenders are, as well as the player to keep an eye on the first major of the season.

The Australian Open 2018 will be played at Melbourne Park between 15th and 28th January with Hard Court as the chosen surface for the first Grand Slam of the season.

Bottom Half of the Draw

Roger Federer is the main favorite to retain his Australian Open title at +184 at Pinnacle. The 36-year-old is coming off an extraordinary 2017 with two Grand Slam titles, three Masters 1000 trophies and an incredible 91.67% winning record throughout the season. Adding to this, the 19-time Grand Slam champion picked up his first trophy of 2018 at the Hopman Cup.

Australian Open organizers have forecast a repeat of the fast court conditions from 2017 that helped Federer on his way to a fifth title in Melbourne Park. The faster conditions definitely suit aggressive players like Federer with the Swiss winning his first ever match over Rafael Nadal at the Australian Open on last year’s final.

The no.2 seed shouldn’t experience any major problems until the quarterfinals where he might face David Goffin or Juan Martin Del Potro. Nevertheless, the real test is yet to come with Nova Djokovic as the main contender on Federer’ half.

Djokovic returns to action after a six-month absence. The Serbian is one of the most successful players ever at the Australian Open with six titles on his resume. Despite some concerns regarding Novak’s physical condition, the former world no.1 returned to competitive tennis with a triumphing 6 – 1 6 – 4 win over Dominic Thiem at the Kooyong Classic exhibition tournament.

Taking a look now at Djokovic’s draw on this event, the 30-year-old won’t have an easy task with very dangerous opponents on his quarter such as Alexander Zverev, Dominic Thiem and Roberto Bautista Agut. Moreover, Stan Wawrinka is also on the same quarter as the Serbian. However, it’s unlikely that Wawrinka is fully recovered after being sidelined with a knee injury since Wimbledon.

Despite Federer’s outstanding results in recent months, Djokovic is far from an easy match-up for the Swiss. In addition to his impressive 17 – 9 record over Federer since 2011, the Serbian won 80.00% of their last 10 encounters on Grand Slam events. For that reason, it’s hard to find any value on Roger’s tennis betting odds to lift the trophy in Melbourne. On the other hand, BetVictor offers a very interesting price for the Serbian to win his 7th career title at the Australian Open at +650 at BetVictor. Nevertheless, our suggestion is for you to wait for the first match to assess Novak’s physical condition before placing any bet on the Serbian’s outright.

Top Half of the Draw

Rafael Nadal couldn’t have asked for a better draw in Melbourne. With Federer and Djokovic in the other half, the 2009 Australian Open champion is the undeniable favorite to reach the final in the top half of the draw. However, the Spaniard has been suffering with a right knee injury for months. Adding to this, Nadal has some dangerous opponents on his half of the draw such as Grigor Dimitrov, Nick Kyrgios or Marin Cilic.

Due to the uncertainty over his physical condition and the tricky opponents on his path, it’s impossible to trust on the Spaniard at this moment. Therefore, our advice is for you to avoid placing any bet on the Spaniard.

As mentioned above, Kyrgios is also on the same half as Nadal. The home favorite started the season with the title in Brisbane and is always a player to keep an eye on the big stage. That said, adding Nick to your betting picks to win the title at +1600 at BetOnline should allow you to secure some profit if the Australian reaches the final rounds in Melbourne Park.

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