Greetings! The last iteration of Manic Monday was completed to start the second week at the All England Club, and we were unlucky to lose Korda in an absolute heartbreaking fifth set, whilst Kerber was a little too good for Gauff.
For Wednesday’s slate, it’s the Gentlemen’s singles quarterfinals up next, with both Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer having safely passed through, keeping the 2019 classic final rematch hopes alive.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wednesday, July 07, 2021 – 10:00 AM EDT on Court1
He's already showed his prowess on the grass in 2019, going 11-2 on the surface with a title before a foot injury disrupted his chances at bothering Roger Federer in the Last 16 of Wimbledon. This year, Matteo Berrettini has done even better.
With one of the biggest serves on tour, combined with the biggest forehand on tour, the 6'5" frame of Berrettini can do massive damage on the slick lawns. Having only lost two sets since the start of the grass season, and a perfect 9-0 record, many pegged the 25-year old Italian as Novak Djokovic's biggest title contender, and it may well be so.
Winning his first ITF title at just 15 years old, great things were expected of Felix Auger-Aliassime. The Canadian has certainly risen to those lofty standards over his two years on the ATP tour, though his 0-8 record in finals is less than flattering.
Just getting to that title winning position on so many occasions is praiseworthy enough for the 20-year old. Felix has the perfect tennis frame, with a 6'4" athletic build. The serve and groundstrokes are massive, whilst he also covers the court expertly. On grass, those weapons play well, and the Canadian has put up an elite 10-2 record on the lawns in 2021, including defeating Roger Federer in Halle.
Berrettini hasn't been challenged in this tournament yet, in part due to a kind draw. Felix has all the pedigree to make this an uncomfortable outing for the Italian. As top sportsbooks, as he showcased when defeating the fourth seed Alexander Zverev in five sets last time out.
Expect a server-oriented matchup between two big serving men, with the betting odds underdog at least nicking a set. All things considered, the 39.5 total feels a few games too low, and we'll invest on the over.
Roger Federer vs. Hubert Hurkacz
Wednesday, July 07, 2021 - 10:30 AM EDT on Center Court
Can he roll back the years, and stand on top of the world once more? That is the question asked by many fans of the sport, with Roger Federer soon 40 years old and in the twilight of his career. Returning from double knee surgery has been more difficult for the Swiss maestro than he´s expected, and it´s been a frustrated figure at many times this year.
For your tennis odds, it so nearly ended in the very first round where Adrian Mannarino comprehensively outplayed Roger to find himself two sets to one up, but the Frenchman then took a bad slip and was forced to retire. In-form Cameron Norrie gave a stern four set test, but Federer has shaken off some rust the longer the tournament has gone - with an increasing tendency to approach the net.
Against Lorenzo Sonego he approached the net on a whopping 25% of points, and he will need to shorten rallies as much as possible to continue having success.
Hubert Hurkacz looks in the form of his life to start the 2021 season, winning Delray Beach and performing at an incredible level to win his maiden Masters title in Miami. Denis Shapovalov, Milos Raonic, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Andrey Rublev and Jannik Sinner, all some of the world's absolute elite - were beaten in succession.
Since that title, however, the 24-year old Pole fell off the map completely, compiling a disastrous 1-4 clay season and followed it up by losing both his matches in the lead-in tournaments on grass.
At Wimbledon, we've seen a much more clinical version of Hubert. With his big serve, groundstrokes and underrated net skills, he charged the net frequently en route to an incredible comeback over the number two seed Daniil Medvedev, coming from two sets to one down to take the win.
Hurkacz has made life tough for the elite before, and he doesn't fear even the Big Three. In his first (and only) meeting with Federer in 2019 Indian Wells, the Pole stood up admirably in a 6-4, 6-4 loss. At Wimbledon 2019 he was one of two men excluding Federer to take a set off Djokovic.
If drawn into longer rallies or rushed, the Swiss maestro is certainly vulnerable and bolstered from his impressive comeback win, the Pole may well stick around for a long time.
The top online sportsbooks understandably make Federer the large favorite for the tennis picks. but the total looks attackable again here as it seems a bit too low and shaded towards the Swiss winning comfortably.
*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.