ATP and WTA French Open Day 3 Top Tennis Picks and Predictions

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ATP and WTA French Open Day 3 Top Tennis Picks and Predictions
Facundo Bagnis. (Photo by Clive Brunskill / POOL / AFP)

No luck on the mens’ side on day 2 despite an opening set tiebreak as Querrey faded to lose in 3 sets. The women’s bet has yet to be played at the time of writing so fingers crossed that lands. As we turn to day 3 we have 39 matches on the cards with top seeds Novak Djokovic and Ashleigh Barty beginning their campaign as well as the king of clay, Rafael Nadal. While value looks thinner on the ground on day 3, I think I’ve found a couple of interesting options. Join me as I analyze day 3 in Paris and offer my best tennis picks and predictions for Sportsbook Review!

Facundo Bagnis vs Benjamin Bonzi (WC)

Tuesday, June 01, 2021 – 07:00 AM EDT at Roland-Garros

I may regret trying my hand with the overs again this week on the slow clay of Paris, but this is a match up which looks primed to go long and I like the look of over 37.5 games at -124 (1.81) with BetOnline. Bagnis is a justified favourite, possessing by a distance the better clay pedigree, but he has a tendency to play long matches on the dirt and I suspect Bonzi has the talent to take at least a set in front of an (admittedly reduced) home crowd.

Part of this bet is the respective playing styles, with both men primarily shot makers whose biggest strength is powerful, aggressive ball striking. They have solid enough serves and should be most comfortable playing on the front foot, naturally leading to a tight match as long s both play fairly well. Bagnis is priced up at -150 (1.67) for this match and often ends up eeking out tight matches when priced up similarly. At the price range of -200 (1.5) to -101 (1.99) on clay 8 of his 23 matches since 2020 have finished under the total games line.

France's Benjamin Bonzi. (Photo by François-Xavier MARIT / AFP)

Bonzi is a talented but temperamental player, though he’s been increasingly consistent over the past couple of seasons. Whle he is more comfortable away from clay, Bonzi can play on the surface and often gives better opposition a good match but just can’t quite get over the line. You would not have had much success backing him as an underdog on clay with a -10.2% ROI priced +100 (2) to +500 (6), but he’s not given up easily, with just 4 of 17 at this price range since 2019 finishing under the total games line.

Last out Bonzi lost 4-6 7-5 6-7 to Pedro Martinez on Italian clay, who is comparable in level to Bagnis. The week before, on the slow French clay of Lyon, Bonzi lost to world number 25, Karen Khachanov, 1-6 6-4 6-7. Bonzi clearly has the game to make a match of it against Bagnis and while I would expect the Argentine to come through in the end, I’m happy taking a chance on over 37.5 games at -124 (1.81) with BetOnline.

Tennis Pick: Over 37.5 games -124 (1.81) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Over 37.5 -124 (1.81)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.

Anett Kontaveit (30) vs Viktorija Golubic

Tuesday, June 01, 2021 - 07:00 AM EDT at Roland-Garros

Another match up where I would expect the favourite to come through but only after a fight so I’ll take a chance on over 20.5 games at -120 (1.83) with Bovada Kontaveit is the better player, especially on clay, but her game is based around strong, consistent serving and power play and her defence is her weakest quality. She rarely wins her matches quickly as a favourite on clay with just 8 of 26 matches since 2018 finishing under the total games line including 3 of 10 since 2020 and 1 of 5 at the French Open.

Golubic is a much more return orientated player and I imagine she’ll be able to make Kontaveit uncomfortable on serve for at least portions of the match. She is an excellent player to back in general when priced up as the underdog with a 16% ROI over her last 50 matches priced over +100 (2), but on clay she has won just 11 of 41 matches as an underdog for a -30% ROI.

Anett Kontaveit. (Photo by Marijan Murat / various sources / AFP)

Like Bonzi, she tends to keep the matches tight but is unable to close, with only 5 of her 16 matches since 2017 as an underdog on clay finishing under the total line. They’ve also played 3 times and 2 went over the total line, though they were played between 2014 and 2016 and none were on clay so their relevance is very questionable. All in all, I doubt we’ll see a walkover and my tennis pick is over 20.5 games at -120 (1.83).

Tennis Pick: Over 20.5 games at -120 (1.83) with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Over 20.5-120 (1.83)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.