ATP 500 Rotterdam Betting Analysis - Can Grigor Dimitrov Extend His Run In 2017?

Joao Mourato

Monday, February 13, 2017 3:24 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 13, 2017 3:24 PM UTC

Join expert capper for his ATP 500 Rotterdam tournament analysis that takes place this week. Find out who is the main favorite, the top contenders and also the player to keep an eye on this event.

ATP Rotterdam

The ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament takes place in Rotterdam with Indoor Hard Court as the chosen surface.


Main Favorite

After winning the Sofia Open title, Grigor Dimitrov is now the main favorite to lift the trophy in Rotterdam. It has been an outstanding season for Dimitrov so far with the Bulgarian holding a remarkable 14 – 1 record after winning two titles already.

Looking now to Grigor’s draw on this event, the 5th seed should start his campaign against Mischa Zverev and Denis Istomin. Even though these two players featured astonishing upsets a few weeks ago in Melbourne, it’s unlikely to see any of them defeating Dimitrov at the time.

David Goffin is the highest ranked player on Dimitrov’s quarter but as it happened earlier this year in Melbourne and Sofia, the Bulgarian should be too strong for Goffin. Taking a look to Grigor’s potential opponents in the semifinals, Alexander Zverev is the main threat on Dimitrov’s path. Both players have been at a very high level and although we wouldn’t be shocked by a victory from Zverev, there is clear value on Dimitrov’s outright due to the easy draw that he has until the semifinals. Therefore, we’ll take the Bulgarian’s betting odds at +300 at Bet365 since we expect to see him fighting for the title in the final rounds.


Main Contenders

The 2014 ATP Rotterdam champion – Tomas Berdych – is one of the main contenders to leave Rotterdam with the title. The conditions on this event clearly suit Berdych’s game style with the Czech winning 87.50% of the matches played in Rotterdam since 2011. Despite his successful record on this tournament, it won’t be easy for Berdych to feature another good result.

The top half of the draw is by far the most competitive on this tournament. Besides Berdych, the 2011 runner-up – Jo-Wilfried Tsonga – is also one of the main favorite to reach the final. Playing on Indoor clearly brings the best out of Tsonga with the French holding a remarkable 69.40% winning record on this surface. Marin Cilic and Richard Gasquet are also on the top half of the draw and it won’t be easy for anyone to defeat them on this event.

Due to the high competitiveness on the top half of the draw, it’s impossible for us to back any player at the time. With this in mind, we recommend you to avoid placing any bet on the players from the top half of the draw before the first round.


Player to Keep an Eye

As we mentioned before, Alexander Zverev is going through a very good moment on his career. The German arrives in Rotterdam after winning his second title in Montpellier with his career high ranking as world no.18. Even though Zverev can play at a very good level on any surface, the 19 years old clearly performs at his best on faster game conditions like the ones on Indoor Hard Court. Alexander already featured 14 victories over top 20 opponents with 42.86% of those taking place on Indoor Hard Court.

Looking now to Zverev’s draw in Rotterdam, the German starts his campaign against his good friend Dominic Thiem. Despite Dominic’s 3 – 1 lead on the h2h, Alexander is clearly in better form and the conditions in Rotterdam also benefit his game style. Having said that, our suggestion is for you to add Zverev to your betting picks to win his first round match against Thiem at -110 at William Hill

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