Aston Villa vs. West Bromwich Albion Soccer Picks: Best Betting Approaches & Premier League Trends

Kevin Stott

Monday, March 2, 2015 8:47 PM GMT

Monday, Mar. 2, 2015 8:47 PM GMT

Before making your soccer pick here, understand that although Aston Villa have lost 7 straight games, all 5 of the Lions' wins this EPL season have come here at home at Villa Park.

Aston Villa vs. West Bromwich Albion Betting Odds Overview
Tuesday 19:45 (NBCSN, NBC Sports Live Extra, Westwood One Sports, Mun2 (USA), BT Sport 1 (UK); 2:45 p.m. ET/11:45 a.m. ET): Thirteenth-place West Bromwich Albion (7-9-11, 25 GF-34 GA) has a chance to really leave 19th-place Aston Villa (5-17-15, 13 GF-37 GA) high and dry when the Baggies are at Villa Park in Birmingham, West Midlands on Tuesday in this Week 28 English Premier League fixture and Midlands derby.

Soccer Odds makers have made host Aston Villa slight +170 favorites in the Three-Way (Winner) marketplace in this one with visiting West Brom +210 underdogs and the Draw priced at a low +200 (bet365). The Total Goals is set at 2½ with some extremely high juice (-210, bet365; Over +160) right now on the Under and many sports books will probably offer this Total at 2 with higher juice on the Over. The Both Teams To Score odds for this match has the No priced at -137 (Sky Bet, Yes +100). And, some prop wagers to look at: To Win To Nil: West Brom +320—where an awful lot of value appears to lie—Aston Villa +275 (William Hill); and, Highest Scoring Half: First Half +210, Second Half +110, Draw +225 (bet365).

Share your thoughts on Euro Soccer with other Gamblers in the Forum.

West Bromwich Albion FC
West Bromwich Albion (2-6-5 Away, 8 GF-15 GA) has scored just 8 goals in 13 Road games this season, so, the low Total is no surprise here for these two anemic offensive teams which only have a total of five players with 3 or more goals this season. And it’s March now. Magician Tony Pulis has been installed as the new West Brom manager and with 30 points and in 13th place in the EPL table, the Baggies should be alright and return to England’s top flight of soccer again next season. West Brom MF Craig Gardner (+600 Anytime Goalscorer, Sky Bet)—who suffered relegation while a member of Birmingham in 2011—said that he is truly ready to seal the neighbors fate. But like the Lions, the Baggies aren’t exactly loaded with scoring firepower and the only three West Brom players with 2 goals or more are star Saido Berahino (11 goals, +160), Brown Ideye (3 goals, +200) and Craig Dawson (2 goals, +600), in the end, making Life hard for Baggies goalkeeper Ben Foster. Guys like Benin international Stéphane Sessègnon (+380), James Morrison (1 goal, +650) and winger Callum McManaman (+350) will have to come through here for West Bromwich Albion.

 

Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa (5-6-9 Home, 9 GF-17 GA) has given the managerial reins to Tim Sherwood who has taken over for Paul Lambert in hopes of keeping the Lions from falling through the trap door that is Relegation which would put a big dent in this historic English Premier League club’s psyche. All five of Villa’s wins have come at Home here at 6HE and Villa Park, so, maybe playing a neighbor in a derby on one’s home soil is the best way to end a 7-game losing streak. Sherwood and Villa fans sure hope so, as even though a draw would end the losing streak here, getting just 1 point—which would put the Claret and Blue only at 23—will still leave this team fighting an uphill battle from now until the final day of the season on Sunday, May 24.

Villa’s problems are many, but the obvious one is the scoring and the team’s 13 goals is 9 lower than the second-lowest scoring team (Sunderland, 22 goals) in the Premier League. Gabriel Agbonlahor (3 goals, +175, Anytime Goalscorer, Sky Bet) and Austrian winger Andreas Weimann (3 goals, +275) are the Claret and Blue’s leading scorers while the seemingly perpetually underwhelming Christian Benteke (2 goals, +187) continues to flounder at Villa Park.

 

Best Betting Approaches and Trends
Historically, a team with the tradition like Aston Villa’s has been able to rally to stay up and avoid Relegation Zone’s trap door, but this Claret and Blue squad seems really unmotivated and with 0 points of out a possible 21 in those L7 losses, this team is now in some real trouble—no matter how bad some of the other Bottom Dwellers may be in Premier League soccer odds. The Claret and Blues largest margin of victory this season is just 1 goal (Stoke City) and, as mentioned, all 5 of Villa’s wins have come here at home at Villa Park. But none of them lately. This team stinks right now. And getting a chance at a theoretical underdog at +210 and the chance to back them in a clean sheet win at +320 by somehow getting a goal or two past Lions GK Brad Guzan seems like a hidden gem in a game that really only means something to host Aston Villa in that they need the W and the 3 points so bad to turn the tables before it’s too late. But it already seems too late, Bubba.

In this series, Aston Villa is 62-30-43 (221 GF-186 GA) against West Brom and an impressive 42-10-15 (127 GF-80 GA) here at Villa Park in EPL play but that was Then and this is Now and the hosts will be hard-pressed to get the victory in a match which could very well end 0-0. When these two met in Week 16 this season over at The Hawthorns, West Brom won 1-0 while in this fixture here last season All Hell Broke Loose with Aston Villa winning 4-3 in a game which was tied 3-3 at halftime. So, maybe the Over (2½) with the nice little plus (+160, bet365) is worth a Soccer Pick in a game where Aston Villa may come out flying with Fear Of Relegation now firmly planted in their heads? I’ll leave that one up to you. That third goal can often be hard to come by in some of Europe’s more defensive soccer leagues.

PREDICTION: Aston Villa 0 West Brom 1

EPL FREE PICKS: West Brom +210, Under 2½ -210 (bet365), West Brom To Win To Nil +320 (William Hill)

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":299822, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here