Aston Villa vs. Everton: Tempting EPL O/U Soccer Pick to Cash In this Saturday

Nikki Adams

Friday, May 1, 2015 5:14 PM GMT

Friday, May. 1, 2015 5:14 PM GMT

Aston Villa & Everton collide in week 35 EPL betting, a fixture that promises to be a goal fest. Join us for a preview of this game, complete with choice soccer picks.

Aston Villa Desperate For Points
Under Tim Sherwood, Aston Villa's Premier League campaign has been revitalised. They are sat in 16th place in the table behind an 8-8-18 mark and 32 points, but the cut off and the dreaded relegation zone are still too close for comfort. Merely two-points away. Therefore, Villa will be looking to take maximum point at the expense of the Toffees when the two sides collide at Villa Park on Saturday.

As it stands, Aston Villa enter this week 35 EPL betting match as the notional favourites, albeit above even money at +175 soccer odds. With Everton priced at +180 soccer odds, their favouritism (or so-called home edge) is a moot point on the Premier League odds board.

The market outlook finds it's bearings in several key facts. On one hand, Villa boast a 3-6-7 record at home, highlighted by 14 goals scored and 22 goals conceded. Recent form is another aspect that lends itself to this soccer betting outlook: they are a so-so2-1-3 in their last six games, which puts them on 11th in the form table. Of that record, a 1-1-1 mark represents home form and a 1-0-2 mark represents road form.

To be fair, they've had a tough schedule with dates against some of the league's top clubs and that's impacted their modest run of form. Losing to both Manchesters on the road as well to Swansea City were to be expected. Still, they managed an eyebrow raising account with a win over Tottenham Hotspur on the road and a 4-0 drumming of relegation rivals Sunderland. As well, interspersed in between those was a 2-1 win over Liverpool in FA Cup.

 

Everton Look To Salvage Season In Top Ten Finish
A few months ago, a top ten finish for Everton seemed as out of reach as winning the Premier League title. So far gone were they down the table, it was relegation that appeared to be the more realistic outcome, which was shocking in itself considering how well they played last year under Roberto Martinez.

Somehow, though, the Toffees pulled themselves up by the bootstraps and clawed their way up to tenth place in England's top flight. With relegation fears firmly behind them, they have a top ten finish in sight down the stretch, offering a new incentive to focus on as they look to finish the season on a respectable note.

Everton are 11-11-12 on the season with 44 points and level on points with West Ham United. They are three points adrift of Stoke City in ninth-place and six points behind Swansea City in eighth-place. Closing those gaps are going to be challenging with only four games left on the season. Admittedly, their main concern is going to stay abreast of West Ham United in tenth place.

A date with Aston Villa appears to be right up their alley,  On paper, that is the Toffees are the better team. Head-to-head, they boast a 4-3-0 mark in their last seven meetings going back to 2011 and they won their clash earlier this season at Goodison Park 3-0. However, this season road form is a questionable 4-4-9 to date and includes just a 1-1-1 mark in their last three trips around the league. What's more, the first meeting this season was Tim Sherwood's revamped Aston Villa. So this is going to be an entirely different matchup.

 

Soccer Betting Verdict:
This could be the most unpredictable game in week 35 EPL betting, which makes it a tossup for our soccer picks. On one hand, Aston Villa have home edge, which makes them a good soccer pick at +175 soccer odds. Add to that some of their results under Tim Sherwood at Villa Park, you cannot not back them. Yet, inconsistency in form remains a concern where they are concerned, let alone the pressure to survive in Premier League can be overwhelming. In other words, not a sure soccer pick at all.

On the other hand, Everton boast fine form right now (five games undefeated with a 4-1-0 record) and now that they can breathe easily with a return to top flight all but certain they strike an attractive pose as the notional underdogs at +180 on the Premier League odds board. Still road form is a concern and they are only 1-1-1 on the road in their last three away trips. They aren't a sure soccer pick either.

In lieu of this unpredictability, the best soccer pick in our opinion is the total odds. We're clapping our eyes on the over 2.5 that is trading at +108 because this matchup has served up goal fests in five of the last seven meetings of three goals or more. Take the Over 2.5 on your soccer picks at the tempting price of +108 or thereabouts depending on your sportsbook of choice.

Soccer Free Picks: Over 2.5 +108 at Bet365

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":299904, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here