Arsenal vs. Burnley Soccer Odds, Picks & Prediction

Kevin Stott

Monday, October 27, 2014 3:44 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 27, 2014 3:44 PM UTC

Arsenal are heavy soccer betting odds favorites at -450 on the three-way line against Burnley but with just one home win, can the Gunners explode for some offense and win their backers a bet?

Odds Overview
Betting against bad teams week-in and week-out has always been a strong way to gamble on sports, when done properly, and this Arsenal (3-5-1, 15 GF-11 GA) and Burnley (0-4-5, 5 GF-16 GA) match from the Emirates Stadium in North London provides the perfect opportunity to find a way(s) to back the Gunners when using all of the prop bets and the Asian Handicap specifically.

Soccer odds have made Arsenal -450 Favorites (bet365) with visiting Burnley massive +1100 Underdogs and the Draw priced at a robust +500. Sometimes in sports, a bad team on the Road has a chance to knock off one of the bigger teams in the league but, this just isn’t one of those times as Burnley is a recently promoted and likely May 2015-relegated club which hasn’t won yet this season and has 5 total goals scored as we enter Week 10 action. Not prolific man.

The Total Goals here is set at 2½ Over -175, (bet365, Under +135) and most likely some sports books will move the number up to 3, so. if you like the Over at 2½, best get it early in the week or shop around. The Both Teams To Score (Yes) odds are lined at +110 (BetVictor; No -153) and these numbers strongly point to the possibility of an Arsenal clean sheet here, meaning the Arsenal To Win To Nil line is also worth consideration (+110, BetVictor) as this has at least 2-0, 3-0 or 4-0 written all over it.


As mentioned, the Claret are a winless 0-4-5 (including against Leicester, as our handicappers predicted) and have scored just 5 goals so far with not even one player having 2 goals or more. Burnley is an extremely small market club—a team from a market town in Lancashire with a population near 74,000—so going to London and knocking off Arsene Wenger and Arsenal sounds like a great idea, but, in reality, Burnley just doesn’t have the horses, and, in 19th place, may likely even end up finishing the season dead-last in 20th the way they have been playing in their return to the English Premier League. It looks as this will be a very long year for Claret manager Sean Dyche and goalkeeper Tom Heaton and that this team will be the brunt of a lot of jokes. In short, there’s not much to say about Burnley this season except maybe enjoy the club while it’s up because it’s really hard to win matches and earn points when you can’t score goals.


The Gunners and their fans always seem to be in some kind of strange Angst Funk, but this team somehow always seems to rise to the occasion when it has to and along with Chelsea and Manchester City, Arsenal is a team which should again finish in the Top 4 and again earn that valuable UEFA Champions League spot. One area that the Gunners need to improve on is getting Wins instead of settling for Draws (5) and with a roster that includes the electric Alexis Sánchez (5 goals), Danny Welbeck, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Aaron Ramsey, Jack Wilshere, Santi Cazorla and Mesut Özil, this team should be able to start gelling but a lot of that has to do with how veteran manager Wenger uses his pieces on the playing field. And, if you like playing the Anytime Goalscorer market, Chilean Sánchez would be a nice soccer pick when those markets open up mid-week.

One area Arsenal has a hidden edge that some overlook is with its underrated goalkeeper, Wojciech Szczesny. After shutting out Sunderland, 2-0 at the Stadium of Light on Saturday, the cool 24-year-old Polish GK then decided it was time to relax and reward himself so he simply headed off to Rome for some relaxation. And having a player so confident on the pitch and in his personal life, Szczesny will no doubt be aiming for another clean sheet here against one of the league’s doormats and Burnley may be hard-pressed to even get 3 or 4 quality shots on the Gunners goal in the 90+ minutes of football play this Saturday at the Emirates.


Best Betting Approaches
There are several ways to attack this, and the aforementioned Arsenal To Win To Nil and Total Goals Over (at 2½) seem like pretty logical bets here as does the Sánchez Anytime Goalscorer prop. But the suggested way to go here is to just anticipate host Arsenal winning by at least 2 goals and taking it from there, meaning the Asian Handicap with Arsenal -1½ (BetVictor) makes perfect sense. As long as Burnley is in the Premier League—and that will probably be 29 more matches brother—it’s probably a pretty good idea to just keep betting against them in one (or more) way or another. Quite often, handicapping isn’t brain surgery and this is one of those instances. If this team can beat Aston Villa on the Road 3-0, then it certainly should be able to do a rain dance on the Claret here at Home this weekend. Embrace logic Willie.

Free Soccer Prediction for Premier League: Arsenal 4 Burnley 0

Free Soccer Pick for Premier League: Arsenal -1.5 (BetVictor)

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