Argonauts a Good Value in CFL Rematch vs. Eskimos

Wednesday, July 11, 2018 1:41 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 11, 2018 1:41 PM UTC

One unique scheduling option in the CFL is the ability to stage home-and-home series between teams that simply change venues from one week to the next. Two of those rematches are on tap in Week 5.

<h2 style="text-align:center">[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">CFL Betting Pick of the Week:<br /><a href="" title="Complete Game Odds">Toronto Argonauts vs. Edmonton Eskimos (Friday, 9 p.m. ET)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free CFL Pick: Argonauts +7</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3478709, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1096,180,999996,274], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>The Argonauts needed a short fourth-quarter touchdown throw from James Franklin to Declan Cross to get past Edmonton 20-17 last Saturday as three-point home underdogs in Game 1 of this inter-division home-and-home tilt. Franklin took over the reins for an injured Ricky Ray and he ended that game with 217 yards through the air and 31 yards and another score on the ground. Running back James Wilder Jr. led the team in rushing with 120 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries.</p><p>Toronto was coming off a bye last week after losing its first two games both straight-up and against the spread, to Saskatchewan in Week 1 as a 2.5-point road favorite and to Calgary at home as a three-point underdog. The total stayed "under" 55.5 points in last week’s win and it has stayed "under" in the Argos’ first three games.</p><p>Edmonton comes into the rematch at Commonwealth Stadium as a touchdown favorite to avenge that loss. The total this time has been set at 54 points. The Eskimos fell to 2-2 SU with that loss after getting stunned by Hamilton at home in Week 2 as 6.5-point favorites. They have failed to cover in three of their first four games and the total went "over" in their first three contests.</p><p>Mike Reilly led the CFL in passing yards in 2017 and so far this season he has thrown for a league-high 1,390 yards and seven touchdowns in four games. At the top of the list for receiving yards, with 22 catches for 433 yards and two scores, is Edmonton’s D’haquille Williams. In Saturday’s losing effort, Reilly completed 70.0 percent of his 40 passing attempts for 370 yards. He tossed one touchdown against one interception. The Eskimos’ defense has been the biggest issue so far, with a points-allowed average of 27.5.</p><p> </p><h2>Head-to-Head Betting Trends</h2><p>Edmonton has a 4-2 edge ATS in its last six home games against Toronto and it has won six of the last seven meetings at home SU. <a href="" title="CFL Odds">The total has gone "over" in the last five meetings in Edmonton</a>.</p><p> </p><h2>Free Betting Pick</h2><p>Each of these teams has not lived up to expectations in the early part of the season. While I do have Edmonton avenging last week’s loss SU, I am going to <a href="" title="Free Sports Picks">take the seven points with Toronto</a> covering the spread.</p><p> </p><h2 style="text-align:center">Other CFL Week 5 Games</h2><h2>Calgary (-3) vs. Ottawa</h2><p><strong>When:</strong> Thursday, 7:30 p.m. <strong>Total Line:</strong> 48.5<br /><strong>Analysis:</strong> Two weeks ago in Calgary, the Stampeders rolled to a 24-14 victory over the RedBlacks as 7.5-point home favorites on their way to a perfect 3-0 start both SU and ATS. Coming off a bye, I would keep riding the Stampeders both ways in this game.</p><p> </p><h2>Winnipeg vs. British Columbia</h2><p><strong>When: </strong>Saturday, 10 p.m. <strong>Total Line:</strong> OFF<br /><strong>Analysis:</strong> The Blue Bombers won the opener in this home-and-home series 41-19 as 6.5-point home favorites. Matt Nichols was back under center after missing Winnipeg’s first three games with a knee injury. He looked a bit rusty last Saturday night, but that will not be the case this Saturday in another Blue Bombers victory.</p><p> </p><h2 style="text-align:center">Week 4 Review</h2><p>I went with Winnipeg as a 3.5-point home favorite against British Columbia as my top CFL pick, and the Blue Bombers easily covered in that West Division clash.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;The former Oregon star isn't giving Manziel a chance &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— New York Post Sports (@nypostsports) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;July 10, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p>
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