Always Dreaming Priced Even Money in Preakness Stakes Futures

Tuesday, May 9, 2017 1:54 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 9, 2017 1:54 PM UTC

The top five futures betting choices for the 2017 Preakness Stakes are Kentucky Derby runners, led by odds-on winner Always Dreaming. History suggests not looking too far down the board in this race. An explanation and updated odds here.

Kentucky Derby winner Always Dreaming is even money to win the 2017 Preakness Stakes at online sportsbook 5Dimes. The 3-year-old colt is currently in transit to Pimlico to prepare for the second leg of the Triple Crown, 11 days ahead of the race. Trainer Todd Pletcher, who tends to ship his horses in late to Baltimore, wants Always Dreaming settled early after proving a bit headstrong many mornings leading up to the Derby. Pletcher plans to put in a few gallops but no timed workouts in the days ahead.

Second choice is last year’s 2-year-old champion Classic Empire at +600 odds. The son of Pioneerof the Nile experienced a horrid trip in his fourth-place finish in the Derby. He bobbled at the start, was bumped in the turn, and exited the race with inflammation in his right eye. The eye is 100 percent better, according to trainer Mark Casse, and the connections hope for a much cleaner race in their second shot at the favorite.

Third choice in futures wagering is Irish War Cry at +1000. Jockey Rajiv Maragh piloted a dream trip in the Derby, but the colt fell flat in the stretch finishing 10th on the board. Irish War Cry took the post at +600 odds.

Here are advanced lines for the projected Preakness field at 5Dimes:

Always Dreaming +100

Classic Empire +600

Irish War Cry +1000

Lookin At Lee +1200

Battle of Midway +1600

Conquest Mo Money  +1600

Gunnevera +1600

Royal Mo +1600

Cloud Computing +2000

Malagacy +2000

Practical Joke +2000

Senior Investment +2500

The book is also offering some intriguing Triple Crown prop bets. Always Dreaming is +440 odds to win all three legs, +235 to win Preakness and lose the Belmont Stakes, or +1150 to win Preakness and skip the 1.5-mile finale. Bet shop Bookmaker is showing 72 percent of bets favoring a Triple Crown victory. The top-rated sportsbook lists Always Dreaming at +350 odds to sweep the three historic races.


Lean On Derby Runners & Favorites

Short-priced horses coming out of the Derby often win the Preakness. The favorite has crossed the wire first a little better than 50 percent of the time historically. Unlike the Run for the Roses, which shows a small loss (-5 percent) backing chalk every year, the Preakness returns a healthy 16 percent using the same strategy. In fact, the first or second betting choice has crossed the wire first 65 percent of the time. As for finishing in the money, slightly more than 75 percent have come out of the Derby since 1960.

Non-Derby entrants typically lack the speed and class to contend. New runners for this race include Conquest Mo Money, Royal Mo, Cloud Computing, Malagacy and Senior Investment. If backing new blood, form is paramount. Those who failed to win their prior race finish in the money less than 10 percent of the time.

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