Even though Manchester City hasn't been nearly as dominant away from home, they're still favored at a price of -125 in the soccer odds for this match at Southampton. The Saints can be backed in the ballpark of +375 to +400, while a draw is listed at +265.
The Saints have started to cool off now after their scorching start to their campaign.
Following their 4-1 win over Hull City, Southampton has lost three straight Premier League matches. They lost to Arsenal (2-0) and Chelsea (3-1) away from home and just fell 3-2 at home to Aston Villa during the week.
In one of the most thrilling matches of the bunch, the Saints went down 1-0 early but evened things up behind a goal from Jay Rodriguez. Again they had to claw their way back, this time from a 2-1 deficit, as Pablo Osvaldo was the hero. However, a late goal from Fabian Delph condemned Southampton to a third consecutive defeat.
Because of this bad spell, the Saints have dropped all the way down to eighth in the table. They're even on points with Manchester United heading into Saturday's home fixture.
At St. Mary's, Southampton has recorded four wins, two draws and one loss in seven matches. They've scored 13 goals and surrendered five. Still, they've yet to face a side of City's caliber on their home ground yet.
City's 3-2 win over West Brom means they've won four straight matches outright across all competitions. They had brushed past Tottenham (6-0), Viktoria Plzen (4-2) and Swansea City (3-0) before Wednesday's victory.
The score-line actually isn't representative of how much the Citizens bossed the game. They had nearly 60 percent of the possession and were up 3-0 until two very late goals from the home made things interesting.
Sergio Aguero scored once again, giving him 11 total goals in the campaign, but Yaya Toure was the star with a brace, including a converted penalty in the 74th minute. Toure has seven goals and three assists in 14 league appearances this season, quite an amazing return for a midfielder.
City's form is obviously good at the moment, but fans still have to be worried about their away performances.
Yes they just beat West Brom outside of Manchester, but overall they've been far from convincing. While they're undefeated at the Etihad (with an amazing 29 goals for and two against), they've lost four of seven away, while owning a goal differential of minus one. A win over Southampton would be a huge boost in confidence for City as they get ready for upcoming challenges against Bayern Munich in the Champions League and then Arsenal domestically.
Premier League Pick
Those believing this is going to be a stroll in the park for the Citizens may want to think again. Southampton has shown they can hang in this league and these guys aren't afraid of playing anyone, regardless of their poor recent showings.
St. Mary's is sure to be a hotbed of excitement on Saturday and the Saints' good home form should serve them well here. Plus, we've already talked about City's struggles outside of Manchester and those shouldn't be taken lightly.
So where does that mean we should go with our soccer picks? Let's put some small action on a draw, which would give a return of almost three-to-one should it come through. Southampton should be able to give Man City a good fight here at home.
Pick: Southampton 1 Manchester City 1