Add Liverpool To Your Soccer Picks & Look For The Reds To Beat Aston Villa

Martin Green

Thursday, February 11, 2016 2:32 PM GMT

Bottom club Aston Villa face a tough challenge against a Liverpool side that will be desperate for points. Don't miss our betting preview and get the best soccer picks for the weekend.

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Free Soccer Pick: Liverpool -120
Best Line Offered: at Bovada

 

Bottom club Aston Villa have really turned their poor form around in recent weeks and given themselves a slender chance of avoiding relegation, but they face a tough challenge against a Liverpool side that will be desperate for points. The Reds have struggled in recent weeks and have picked up just five points from six games, so they will relish the opportunity to get their season back on track against the lowly Villans.

 

Game Overview
Aston Villa have been markedly improved since the turn of the year. They beat Norwich last time out and have also beaten Crystal Palace, while a draw against league leaders Leicester City was a particular highlight. Yet they are still marooned at the foot of the table, eight points off safety, and are overwhelming favorites to be relegated, best priced at -2500 with PaddyPower and William Hill, but as short as -5000 with Sportingbet. They did not make any signings in the January transfer window, suggesting they are already planning for life in the Championship next season, and manager Remi Garde faces a daunting task as he bids to pull off a miracle of the sort that kept Leicester up last season. What’s more, their best player Jordan Ayew is suspended after being sent off for violent conduct against West Ham.

Liverpool’s league slump has coincided with a brutal fixture schedule as they took on Stoke in a two-legged League Cup semi-final and were taken to a replay in their FA Cup tie with West Ham. Now those distractions are over. They rested virtually their entire starting 11 in midweek defeat to West Ham, so the players starting against Aston Villa should be fresh. Liverpool have dropped down to ninth in the Premiership table, but top six is still a genuine possibility as all the sides around them are displaying such erratic form.

 

Betting Analysis & Main Picks
Aston Villa have lost two-thirds of their games this season, and Liverpool really should be beating them. They are far from the finished article, but they should have enough about them to see off a side that has scored fewer goals than anyone else in the league and already shipped 40 goals this season. They beat Aston Villa 3-2 in September and will be confident of another victory here. That makes the -110 on offer at Bet Victor and Coral for a Liverpool win look very attractive indeed. Sky Bet and various others are offering +350 on an Aston Villa win, which is a huge price on a home side, but the Villans have won just twice at home all season and nobody is expecting them to beat Liverpool. You can get +260 on a draw with BetVictor, which is another large price, and you might consider hedging your soccer picks with a small stake on the draw if you think Aston Villa have half a chance of escaping with a draw. You might also consider the -250 Coral is offering on Liverpool drawn no bet, but it would take a large stake to make that worthwhile.

Bet Victor has +900 in their soccer odds board on a 2-1 win to Liverpool, which looks an interesting bet. If you fancy a repeat of September’s 3-2 win for Liverpool, Bet Victor is offering +3500. There should be goals in this game as both sides are poor defensively. Liverpool recently beat relegation strugglers Norwich 5-4 and drew 2-2 with Sunderland in their last league match. You can get +120 on over 2.5 goals with Sky Bet and various others, and that looks like a great bet. Roberto Firmino is in excellent form up front for Liverpool and many will be tempted to have a flutter on him scoring first. You can get +450 with Bet365 and various others on that. He should start on his own up front, keeping Christian Benteke and Daniel Sturridge on the bench, and that makes it a very attractive price on him. For the more cautious punter, 888 Sport has +170 on him to score at any time, which is a good price for someone that has five goals in his last six games.