Add Fognini to Your ATP Beijing Quaterfinals Tennis Pick

João Mourato

Thursday, October 8, 2015 1:21 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 8, 2015 1:21 PM UTC

Djokovic seems unstoppable, the four players remaining on bottom half are looking for a place in the decisive match. Find out our tennis pick for ATP Beijing's semifinals.   

Fabio Fognini vs Pablo Cuevas
Fabio Fognini reaches Beijing’s quarterfinals for second time in his career after a brilliant win over David Goffin. The Italian has been at very good level since US Open, where he reached 4th round, and mentally much more stable than in the first months of 2015.

Fabio has been quite solid on serve with 84.2% service hold but the most impressive is his return, winning this week an average of 50.0% return games.

Pablo Cuevas is having a terrible year on Hard Court with a 3-8 record on this surface before this event, however his level clearly raised this week with two massive victories against Tomas Berdych and Ivo Karlovic.

Cuevas has been extremely solid on serve, not being broken a single time so far on this event. Pablo is also far from a strong mental player but this week showed a tremendous mental strength against Karlovic, winning in two close tie breaks.

Fognini leads h2h 3-1 with the most recent match being played at US Open where the Italian won 6-3 6-4 6-4.

Fabio is playing some outstanding tennis and he can make much more damage from the baseline than his opponent. Pablo is a great competitor and a very solid player however there isn’t much he can do when Fognini is playing at such high level.

Cuevas one-handed backhand is not as reliable as his forehand and Fognini should take advantage of that with his crossed backhand and forehand down the line.

Our advice on this match is to bet on Fognini’s spread instead of his ML. The Italian is known for being an unpredictable player but if he’s up for the task and keeps the good level he should claim the win comfortably. We’ll add to our tennis picks the value on Fognini’s tennis odds.

Tennis Pick: Fabio Fognini -2.5 (-113) at Pinnacle

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