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Aces vs. Fever Predictions, Picks & Odds: Defending Champs Extend Unbeaten Start on Road?

Henry John

Last Updated: June 4, 2023 2:41 PM EDT • 2 min 36 sec read.

The Las Vegas Aces look to stay hot in our Aces vs. Fever predictions
Alysha Clark #7, A'ja Wilson #22, Kelsey Plum #10 Candace Parker #3, and Chelsea Gray #12 of the Las Vegas Aces react after a basket by Wilson against the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington. Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images via AFP.

The defending champion Las Vegas Aces have yet to lose this season and are heavy favorites over the 1-3 Indiana Fever. See which market value play we like and why with our Aces vs. Fever prediction based on the best WNBA odds.

The young WNBA season rolls on with a trio of games scheduled for Sunday. Among the matchups is a cross-conference tilt between the Las Vegas Aces and the Indiana Fever.

For the Aces (3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U), this contest provides an opportunity to extend a dominant start to the 2023 season. Las Vegas has picked up right where it left off after winning the WNBA Finals a year ago by racing out to a 5-0 start. Three of the five wins to date have come by lopsided, double-digit margins. 

Meanwhile, the Fever (2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U) have not been quite as fortunate to begin the year. That said, simply winning one of their first four games was a step in the right direction after Indiana ended last season on a massive losing skid. With a young roster, the Fever will presumably be more dangerous in the future than they will be in 2023.

Here is our best Aces vs. Fever prediction (odds via BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Aces vs. Fever prediction

Fever Team Total Under 78.5 (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

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To put things bluntly, anything other than a comfortable Aces victory in this matchup would come as a major surprise. Las Vegas simply overwhelms Indiana in terms of talent and experience. Hence, the lopsided point spread of Aces -15.5 which is the prevailing line across the market.

For bettors specifically looking to fire ATS, leaning toward the defending champs feels like the right side. However, our best bet for this matchup will be to play the Under on the Fever team total at BetMGM where the line of 78.5 sits a full point higher than all other sportsbooks in the market.

Indiana comes into this game ranked dead last in the WNBA in scoring offense (75.5 points per game) and team field goal percentage (39.6%). The Fever have also been abysmal from beyond the arc, hitting on only 27.7% of their attempted 3-pointers. The only game in which the Fever successfully cleared this team total prop line was also their only victory of the season.

As for the Aces, they have only allowed more than 73 points twice in their first five games. Those matchups came against the Los Angeles Sparks and the Atlanta Dream, two teams that notably have a bit more in terms of reliable offensive firepower than what Indiana brings to the table.

It would likely take a significant uptick in shooting by Indiana or a total lapse in defense by the Aces with the game comfortably in hand late for the Over on this prop to hit.

Aces vs. Fever best odds

BetMGM (-115)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
77.577.578.577.577.5
-110-106-115-110-110

It shouldn’t be lost on bettors that this same prop is listed with an Over/Under of 77.5 at all other major shops aside from BetMGM. One need not look any further than the fact that the Fever scored exactly 78 points in their most recent game to understand why it is worth laying five extra cents to get an extra point of value on the prop line itself.

Aces vs. Fever game info

  • Date: Sunday, June 4, 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBSSN
  • Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Aces vs. Fever picks made 6/4/2023 at 11:50 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Henry John
Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball, and NASCAR. He counts NFL, WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.