Academy Awards Betting: 2014 Oscars Odds & Predictions

Nila Amerova

Friday, February 28, 2014 5:18 PM GMT

Who should win the Academy Awards and who will succeed are mutually exclusive actualities. So let’s take a look at the various Entertainment odds currently in swing in order to determine our best picks in the top ten categories at the Oscars.

And the nominees are.....

Best Actor: Mathew McConaughey has revived his acting career so impressively as to earn a nomination for his role in The Dallas Buyers Club. What’s more, he’s the odds makers’ pick for the Best Actor Oscar at -500 odds. And his performance as the HIV drug runner was impressive indeed that many are confident it’s his turn. Yet two exceptional performances: Chiwetel Ejofor as a slave (+600) and Leonardo di Caprio in The Wolf of Wall Street (+450) could give McConaughey a serious run for his money.

Oscars Picks: Leonardo di Caprio
Should win: Mathew McConaughey

Best Actress: Cate Blanchett has the market cornered at -3300 for her role in Blue Jasmine. With such an overwhelming vote of confidence across sportsbooks it’s a wonder if anybody can beat her. Judi Dench at +2000 for her role in Philomena would be the sentimental Oscars pick, as would Meryl Streep (an almost perennial nominee). The surprise in this category could be Amy Adams for her role in American Hustle – both actress and film garnering a lot of buzz ahead of the Academy Awards.

Oscars Pick: Cate Blanchett
Should Win: Amy Adams

Best Supporting Actor: The runaway favourite in this category is Jared Leto at -1200 betting odds at William Hill. That said many Entertainment betting pundits are of the opinion that Jonah Hill’s performance in The Wolf of Wall Street is more deserving, although he’s listed at a distant +4000 to win outright. Also in this category are Michael Fassbender (+800), first-time actor Barkhad Abdi +1200 and Bradley Cooper +5000.

Oscars Pick: Jared Leto
Should win: Barkhad Abdi

Best Supporting Actress: This is a category that many Entertainment betting fans have narrowed down to a two-horse race between Jennifer Lawrence at +110 and newcomer Lupita Nyong’o at -150 Entertainment odds at William Hill. Lawrence already picked up the Best Actress Oscar for her role Silver Linings Playbook. Could she pull of the double?

Oscars Pick: Lupita Nyong’o
Should win: Jennifer Lawrence

Best Picture: There are nine nominees in this category but short of a surprise we can safely rule out several right off the top – long shot bets such as Nebraska, Captain Phillips and Her (all listed at whopping +20000 odds) and Philomena (+10000). It’s hard to imagine any of these films winning. The race is down to top favourites 12 Years a Slave (-450) and Gravity (+400). It’s possible that either The Dallas Buyers Club (+1200), American Hustle (+1400) or The Wolf of Wall Street (+5000) would spring an upset here but, more likely than not, it’ll be either of the top two favourites.

Oscars Pick: Gravity
Should Win: Gravity

Best Director: Household name Martin Scorcese would be a trendy Oscars pick for his directorial output in The Wolf of Wall Street. However at +5000 odds at William Hill, he’s a bit of a long shot surprisingly. Well, he’s not a complete no hoper as the odd one out in this group, Alexander Payne at +10000 for Nebraska. Popular Entertainment experts have it down to Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity and Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave. If Sportsbooks were any indication, Alfonso Cuaron at -2000 is the smart Oscar pick.

Oscars Pick: Steve McQueen
Should Win: Alfonso Cuaron

Best Foreign Language Film: There are several interesting nominations for Best Foreign Language Film. While the overwhelming Entertainment betting market is tipping the balance in favour The Great Beauty at -600, this year’s standout (and long shot) nominee is Rithy Panh’s The Missing Picture.

Oscars Pick: The Great Beauty
Should Win: The Missing Picture

Best Animated Feature Film: Frozen at -3300 odds at William Hill is a country mile ahead of the rest of the nominees in this category.  The Wind Rises at +1200 could spring the upset here.

Oscars Pick: Frozen
Should Win: Frozen

Best Original Screenplay: Her has been snubbed in every other Oscars betting market, but finally receives its due for Best Original Screenplay, listed as the firm favourite at -120 to win outright at William Hill. American Hustle though could sneak away with the Oscar at +110. The real upset would be if Nebraska, a long shot pick in just about every market, picked up the Oscar here at +2000.

Oscars Pick: American Hustle
Should Win: Nebraska

Best Original Song: The nominated songs at the 2014 Academy Awards are all actually quite good, which isn’t a usual occurrence, mind. Let it Go (Frozen) has the market cornered at -450 at William Hill but the choice Oscars pick has to be U2’s Ordinary Love (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom). The long shot in this section is Happy (Despicable Me).

Oscars Pick: Ordinary Love
Should Win: Ordinary Love