90th Academy Awards Futures Odds from BetOnline

Kevin Stott

Friday, December 1, 2017 5:43 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 1, 2017 5:43 PM UTC

The 90th Academy Awards will be held on Sunday, March 4 at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, so let’s look at the current BetOnline odds for the four main categories for Hollywood’s big night: Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Director and Best Picture and offer up some picks.

BetOnline has posted opening odds for the 90th Academy Awards, which are scheduled to be held at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood on Sunday, March 4 (ABC, 8:30 pm ET) with late night talk show host and former Las Vegas resident Jimmy Kimmel again hosting the proceedings. The show has been scheduled a little later this year as not to interfere with the 2018 Winter Olympics.

The Best Actor category -- won last year by favorite (-120, 5Dimes) by Casey Affleck for “Manchester By The Sea” -- sees Gary Oldman as a huge favorite (-320, BetOnline) to get that little bronze Oscar statuette for his highly lauded role of Winston Churchill in “The Darkest Hour”, while Frances McDormand (+140) and Sally Hawkins (+140) are currently co-favorites in the Best Actress category for the lead roles in “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” and “The Shape of Water”, respectively. “Dunkirk” (+200) is the slight favorite in the big daddy Best Picture race, with “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” (+250) just behind.

Here are the current odds from BetOnline, in odds and alphabetical order for the Oscars' four biggest and most popular categories, Best Actress, Best Actor, Best Director and Best Picture. Last year it was “Moonlight” won the Best Picture after a confusing mix-up at the show’s end which saw Warren Beatty—who was announcing the winner with Faye Dunaway—wrongly name “La La Land” as the winner of the Best Picture, only to be corrected minutes later while acceptance speeches were being given for a film that didn’t win.

Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour -325

Daniel Day Lewis, Phantom Thread +500

Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name +650

Tom Hanks, The Post +900

Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq. +1000

Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger +1400

Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman +1400

Chadwick Boseman, Marshall +1800

James Franco, The Disaster Artist +2000

James McAvoy, Split +2500

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water +140

Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri +140

Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird +500

Margot Robbie, I, Tonya +600

Meryl Streep, The Post +600

Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game +800

Annette Bening, Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool +1000

Kate Winslet, Wonder Wheel +1200

Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes +1600

Brie Larson, The Glass Castle +2200

Carey Mulligan, Mudbound +2200

Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk -300

Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water +320

Steven Spielberg, The Post +550

Luca Guadagnino, Call Me By You Name +800

Joe Wright, Darkest Hour +1200

Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird +1600

Jordan Peele, Get Out +1600

Denis Villeneuve, Blade Runner 2049 +1600

Kathryn Bigelow, Detroit +2000

Alexander Payne, Downsizing +2000

Darren Aronofsky, Mother! +3300

Patty Jenkins, Wonder Woman +4000

Dunkirk +200

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri +250

The Post +450

The Shape Of Water +500

Call Me By Your Name +600

Darkest Hour +900

Lady Bird +1000

The Florida Project +1200

Get Out +1400

Blade Runner 2049 +1800

Detroit +2000

Downsizing +2000

I, Tonya +2000

The Big Sick +2500

The Disaster Artist+2800

The Greatest Showman +2800

Wonder Woman +6600

Many of these films are just coming to movie theaters, including “The Shape of Water”, which actually premiered Dec. 1, "The Post” (Dec. 22) and “Downsizing” (Dec. 22) -- trailers for all three are linked in the film’s names -- so this appears to be a pretty decent holiday season for Academy Award-caliber movies, although almost everything appears to be interesting when looking at the trailers.

Most critics seem to really like “The Shape of Water”, and, at its current 5/1 odds, may be a value-laden pick come early March. And the premise to the coming Alexander Payne-directed “Downsizing” is absolutely wonderful, and, 20/1 odds, may be a great pick from this distance. Remember that last year “La La Land” was a prohibitive favorite in this market (1/6), but it was The Little Engine That Could, “Moonlight,” that ended up winning when all was said and done, rewarding its long-shot backers at up to 11/2 odds.

Most people involved in Academy Awards Futures betting probably don’t even see most of the movies nominated or wager with their emotions or one the films they actually have seen.while others take it more seriously following the nominees like stocks. The actual winners in the Oscars categories are chosen by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), which had 5,783 members as of 2012.

Logic says “Dunkirk” end up winning Best Picture and Christopher Nolan more than likely nabbing Best Director (-300, BetOnline), and this film, released on July 21, has already grossed over $525 million at the box office, ranking as the highest-earning World War II movie of all time after surpassing the Steven Spielberg-directed epic “Saving Private Ryan,” which has earned $481.8 million since its release in 1998.

Best Actress Pick: McDormandBest Picture Pick: The PostBest Lines Offered: BetOnline
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