3M Open PGA Tour Picks and Odds Analysis

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3M Open PGA Tour Picks and Odds Analysis
Hank Lebioda on July 10, 2021 in Silvis, Illinois. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

3M Open

July 22-25 at TPC Twin Cities – Par 71, 7431 yards

The PGA Tour stops in Blaine, Minnesota for the third year in succession on the Arnold Palmer designed, TPC Twin Cities. A fairly easy test awaits the professionals, and any forecast wind is often the best form of defense. Large, Bentgrass greens await the players who have reasonable length and are strong off the tee, meaning the statistic strokes gained tee to green has been a strong metric in 2019 and 2020. With twenty under needed to be in with a competitive chance of victory we know we are in for a birdie fest this week at TPC Twin Cities.

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Will Hank Lebioda’s First PGA Tour Title Be the 3M OPEN?

Hank Lebioda has found his mojo on the PGA Tour in recent events with a run of, 8th John Deere Classic, 4th Rocket Mortgage Classic and 5th at the Travelers Championship. That run of sublime form has seen the twenty-seven-year-old from Orlando, Florida rise to number 86 in the FedEx Cup playoffs. That’s a noticeable elevation in form for Lebioda, whose only previous top 10 finish on the PGA Tour was the Bermuda Championship in November 1999. What is eye-catching though is his two efforts here at TPC Twin Cities where he was 26th in 2020 and 34th in 2019 when struggling for form or to make cuts on the PGA Tour.

To help tally our reckoning for a best bet this week on Hank Lebioda we know he arrives in the form of his life and way better form than those previous two 3M OPEN renewals. With that considered and having taken last week off, I expect Hank Lebioda to show his best form this week and the look of +4000 with Intertops is extremely attractive for the 3M Open.

3M Open Golf Betting Pick: Hank Lebioda to win at +4000 with Intertops (visit our Intertops Review)

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3M Open Golf Betting Pick: Hank Lebioda – Top 10 at +450 with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Lebioda Top 10(+450)
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Sam Ryder – Photo by Elsa/Getty Images/AFP

Can Sam Ryde His Good Form from the Barbasol Championship?

Pardon the pun for Sam Ryder taking a ryde while he’s in good form but he’s always struck me as a confident player, often snapping seemingly poor spells of form with a couple of weeks, brilliance. 2021 has been a perfect example of my thinking with back-to-back weeks back in late March being his only top 8 finishes before last week’s fast-finishing 3rd at the Barbasol Championship. His 34th here in 2019 grabs my attention given that context that he was in seemingly average form at the time.

Sam Ryder’s tee to green statistics last week at the Barbasol Championship were the best I can ever remember seeing from the thirty-one-year-old from Florida. In comparison, his putting stats were poor for a 3rd place finisher. With those stats, we know he should create many birdie chances and if the flat stick obeys and improves slightly, he could go low enough to be competitive.

This might happen in the coming week given Sam Ryder has shown a propensity over the years to play well on Bentgrass greens. He won the 2017 Pinnacle Bank Championship on similar putting surfaces. For my golf picks, I like the look of a top 10 finish for Sam Ryder if his tee to green stats are as outstanding as last week. He’s a bomb longshot at BetOnline’s wicked win price of +12500 if his putting improves slightly.

3M Open Golf Betting Pick: Sam Ryder to win at +12500 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Ryder to win(+12500)
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3M Open Golf Betting Pick: Sam Ryder Top 10 at +1100 with BetOnline

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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.