2nd Round of Group Action Set to Start in Womens World Cup: What do the Betting Odds Hint to?

Nikki Adams

Thursday, June 11, 2015 3:18 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 11, 2015 3:18 PM GMT

As the FIFA Women's World Cup enters the second round of group action, we analyse the updated soccer odds board for the competition proper and spot some key movements.

FIFA Women's World Cup Odds CANADA 2015 Update
USA and Germany were joint-favourites to win the FIFA Women's World Cup Canada 2015, matched at +300 respectively. At the conclusion of round of group action, Germany pulls ahead of the USA on the World Cup Odds board. Now, at +175 to win outright, the Germans are the team to beat.

Join us as we analyse the soccer odds board and serve up some early soccer betting considerations.

Table 1: Women's World Cup Odds Board BEFORE & AFTER Round 1

 

 

Germany The Team To Beat
The FIFA Women's World Cup Canada 2015 began with teams to spot: USA, Germany and France. Thos three remain at the top of the board, albeit with some slight movement.  Two-time champions Germany (2003 and 2007) got their campaign off the mark with a resounding 10-0 win over Ivory Coast, a result that saw them move up the Women's World Cup Odds board, well ahead of USA.

USA, runners-up in 2011 to Japan, remain put on +300 soccer odds despite a convincing 3-1 opening round win over Australia. While France round out the top 3 favourites after they underscored their pre-tournament odds with a 1-0 win over England.

Defending Champions Japan Slip
Despite a winning start to their title defence campaign, Japan slips from +800 to a whopping +1200 in outright betting markets. A rather surprising twist, all things being considered. In the last four years, they've been one of the best teams on the international front. After winning 2011 Germany by beating the highly fancied Americans, they finished runners-up to USA at the 2012 Olympics (silver medal).

Another team that appears to be rather inexplicably demoted on the World Cup odds board is Brazil, whose odds have swelled from +900 to +1200. They won their opening match against Korea Republic 2-0, but will face stiffer competition when they take on Spain and Costa Rica.

 

Canada Move Up The World Cup Odds Board
Ever since Canada's memorable run at the 2012 London Olympics, where they finished in third place, the Canadians have been looking forward to this competition on home ground, propagated as a great opportunity to build on their Olympic bronze medal with a run into the finals. However, the Canadians didn't start amongst the women's elite in the competition, priced at +1200 to lift the title they were the sixth overall faves to win outright. And there is some bias in that too because of home advantage. Fact is, the Canadians have made five appearances at the world finals and their best finish was fourth place in 2003.

Yet, lo and behold, Canada usurps Japan as the fourth favourites, down from +1200 to +1000 to lift the trophy by tournament end, which is rather inexplicable. Granted Canada have a winnable group and home advantage, so it's quite likely they'll go through to the knockouts. They also procured the silver medal at the London Olympics. But they've yet to do better than a fourth place finish at the world finals, which they accomplished in 2003. There's also the fact that their opener was rather disappointing, even if they won at the expense of a resilient China PR. For Canada to warrant such favouritism, they'll need to play a whole lot better. Right now, those soccer odds stink of bias.

China PR, on account of the defeat to Canada, have been unfairly demoted in outright betting markets, down from +6600 to +12500, which is almost double. That seems rather drastic considering they only lost 1-0 (thanks to a controversial penalty) and that there is still everything to play for in a rather winnable group. As much as it is winnable for Canada, it's notionally the same for the rest of the field. China has a tradition of success in this competition and until the early 2000's they were the Asian powerhouse in the competition. They'd love to reclaim that title.

It's interesting to note that Canada's overall odds have been shortened in outright betting markets rather significantly. They are now the +1000 bet (fourth overall favourites to win outright)

 

Las Ticas Look To Replicate Los Ticos
Anybody that followed the FIFA World Cup Brazil in 2014 will recall Costa Rica's magical run through the competition. They pulled off the improbable to win Group D at the expense of European powerhouses Italy and England and a fancied South American side Uruguay. In the knockouts, they continued their Cinderella run with a win over Greece in the R16, before succumbing to Netherlands on penalties. Indeed, the men brought Costa Rica to the forefront of football by almost reaching the semi-finals. Now, Las Ticas are taken the baton and looking to continue Costa Rica's dream run on the international stage. They got their tournament off with a sensational and impressive 1-1 draw with Spain, a result that has their soccer odds shaved down from +100000 to +50000. They are still long shots in the competition proper, but they're proving to be dangerous floaters already. A team to spot on your soccer picks, perhaps?

Another dangerous floater to pay close attention to is Nigeria, who forced a tie on Sweden after twice coming back from behind. They first came back from a 0-2 deficit to tie the game 2-2. Then they came back from a goal down to tie the game 3-3. Appropriately, their soccer odds have been shaved from +20000 to +10000.

So there you have it, some of the key moves on the FIFA Women's World Cup Canada 2015 odds board. Round 2 kicks off on Thursday. What changes will the second round bring? Surely, there'll be more key moves either way.  

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