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2021 The CJ Cup Picks and Odds Analysis

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2021 The CJ Cup Picks and Odds Analysis
Maverick McNealy hits his tee shot on the 15th hole during the final round of the Fortinet Championship. Meg Oliphant/Getty Images/AFP

This week the PGA Tour stays in Sin City and Summerlin for the CJ Cup at Summit. Like last week the players will have Bentgrass greens to cope with on a not so typical desert track but a lusher man-made parkland course designed by renowned architect Tom Fazio.

Set 2000 feet above sea level means the course will play on the short side this week particularly on the front nine where there looks an opportunity for eagles, birdies and a flying start. Let’s get into the golf odds for this one.

2021 CJ Cup

October 14 – 17, 2021, at Summit Golf Club – Par 72, 7431 yards

Maverick to Be Top Gun in the Desert Chase

This week, thirty-five years on in the Nevada desert since Maverick’s last chase in the clear blue sky, the newer younger version Maverick McNealy looks primed to lead the way again. Yes, it’s a long time since Tom Cruise shot those iconic Top Gun plane chases over the Nevada desert from the Naval Air Station, Fallon but Maverick is back for part two and a chance to win his first PGA Tour title in familiar pastures.

Few if any of this week’s golfers will be as experienced with the Summit Club as Maverick McNealy who is a course member. Last week’s event at the TPC Summerlin showed what a strong affinity with a track could do for a player’s performance as Englishman, Harry Hall completed his first Top 10 finish on the PGA Tour.

This week it’s Maverick McNealy’s turn to make home advantage pay and let’s not forget he was a brave runner up to Max Homa two starts ago at the Fortinet Championship. Back Maverick McNealy to lead the high-speed chase in Nevada again this week at +8000.

The Pick

Golf Pick: Maverick McNealy to Win (+8000)

Golf Pick: Maverick McNealy – Top 5 (+1600)

Joaquin Niemann of Chile plays a shot from a bunker. Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images/AFP

Give Niemann Another Chance on His Favoured Bentgrass Greens

Readers and followers will remember that last week we supported the twenty-two-year-old Chilean, Joaquin Niemann on his return to the PGA Tour after a few weeks break since the Tour Championship. The precocious talent was slow out of the blocks on Thursday with a one over par 72 but soon made amends on Friday with a bogey free 64 allowing him to make the cut comfortably.

Saturday’s third round saw him move into contention for a short while before a treble bogey on the 10th put an end to his chances of winning the tournament but his golf after was still solid. Often, after several weeks off, the professional can be a little sloppy or not quite at their best and therefore there’s a strong chance that this week he cuts out the silly errors from his play.

Part of last week’s reasoning was his likening for Bentgrass greens that have accounted for many of his best weeks on the PGA Tour including his solitary win at the Military Tribute at Greenbrier.

With his putting in theory sharper, and the rust cleaned from his game, this week’s opportunity to play on his favored Bentgrass greens is not lost on me and therefore I’m giving Joaquin Niemann another chance in this week’s CJ Cup at +5500 as one of our best bets this week.

The Pick

Golf Pick: Joaquin Niemann to Win @ +5500

Golf Pick: Joaquin Niemann – Top 5 @ +1100

Max Homa of the United States plays his shot from the tenth tee during the second round of the Valspar Championship. Julio Aguilar/Getty Images/AFP

No One Feels at “Homa” on a Tom Fazio Design Like Max

Max Homa’s surprise maiden win on the PGA Tour was at Quail Hollow in the Wells Fargo Championship back in 2019, which was on one of Tom Fazio’s best-known designs. His second PGA Tour title was earlier in the year at the Genesis Invitational where funnily enough Fazio, redesigned, followed by another tournament victory on his latest start at the Fortinet Championship as mentioned above.

What’s interesting is that he’s taken a couple of weeks off since and therefore there’s no need to expect an adverse reaction or fatigue being an issue this week at the CJ Cup. For a player who has won twice this year, the price of +6600 an extremely attractive one for Max Homa winning the CJ Cup on a track that should fit his eye this week.

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The Pick

Golf Pick: Max Homa to Win (+6600)

Golf Pick: Max Homa – Top 5 (+1100)

*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.