2018 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers CONCACAF Predictions: Mexico vs. USA

Mexico player Rafael Márquez

Kevin Stott

Friday, June 9, 2017 4:01 PM GMT

The USMNT team really needs another Win or at least a Draw for their confidence on Saturday, but playing against a Mexican team which has only allowed one goal in fifth-round CONCACAF 2018 WCQ make the job harder. Let’s look at the trends and offer up a pick in the Hexagonal for this rivalry match.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/PaCEI4C-XFY", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]Mexico vs USA

Historic Estadio Azteca in the Mexico City suburb of Santa Úrsula is the site of this fifth-round (Hexagonal) CONCACAF 2018 FIFA World Cup Qualifier Sunday when Clint Dempsey and the USMNT (2-1-2, 10 GF-7 GA, 7 points, +3 GD in CONCACAF WCQ) face Javier “Chicharito” Hernández and Mexico (4-1-0, 8 GF-1 GA, 13 points). Sportsbooks have opened host Mexico solid -150 favorites here in the Hexagonal with the USMNT +400 and a Draw priced at +250 in the three-way marketplace with the Total at 2½u -116 (Marathon).

 

Mexico Men’s National Football Team

Captain Rafael Márquez (Atlas, Liga MX) and El Tri—nicknamed for the tri-colored red, white and green Mexico flag—will enter this game well on top of the standings of the six CONCACAF countries playing for a berth in the 2018 FIFA World Cup to be held in various cities throughout Russia in June and July of 2018. Javier Hernández (Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Fußball-Bundesliga) and Mexico have to be feeling much better about their performance so far, including Thursday’s 3-0 WCQ win over Honduras at Estadio Azteca (MEX which saw players like Chicharito (47 goals for national team, pictured below) and captain Márquez sitting (in wait for this match) and goal-scorers Oswaldo Alanis (34’), Hirving Lozano (63’), Raúl Jiménez (66’) and Giovani Dos Santos (LA Galaxy) all starting for Mexico.

Behind steady GK Guillermo Ochoa, El Tri has allowed only 1 goal in this Fifth Round of 2018 FIFA World Cup Qualifying (CONCACAF) play. Against Honduras, Mexico manager Juan Carlos Osorio employed a starting XI (4-4-2) of GK Ochoa; Alanis, Reyes, Salcedo, Herrera; J dos Santos, G Dos Santos, Corona, Reyes, Jiménez, Vela. Mexico will be competing in the upcoming 2017 Confederations Cup—a warm-up for the 2018 World Cup—in Russia set to be played June 18 to July 2nf. 2015 CONCACAF winners Mexico get thrown right into the fire in its first match on Sunday, June 18, facing Cristiano Ronaldo and Portugal in a huge Group A fixture at Kazan Arena in Kazan.

 

United States Men’s National Soccer Team

Head Coach Bruce Arena and the USMNT were pretty much in a must-win situation against Trinidad & Tobago on Thursday night in Commerce City, Colorado, and, after a 0-0 match for some time, the USMNT (WDDWWD) came through with a 2-0 win over the Soca Warriors courtesy of two 2nd Half (52’, 62’) goals. In the crucial victory at the home of the Major League Soccer’s Colorado Rapids starting with: GK Howard; Villafaña, Brooks, Cameron, Yedlin; Johnson, Pulisic, Hagbe; Altidore, Dempsey. The USMNT had 9 Shots on Target to Trinidad & Tobago’s 2—and a 55% to 45% ToP edge—and GK Tim Howard notched a clean sheet in a high-Altitude Stadium where the 38-year-old former Everton (EPL) player and American Soccer legend now calls home.

 

Mexico City Weather Forecast, Series Trends, Best Betting Approach

The Weather Channel forecast for the Mexico City on Sunday night is currently (Thursday night) calling for rain showers with clearing later in the evening, a Low of 58° with NE wind gusts to 10-20 mph, so nasty and possibly slowing the play if the grass playing surface absorbs too much precipitation.

A look at the Final scores from the L10 WCQ meetings between these two CONCACAF and regional rivals (USA 1-2 MEX, USA 2-0 MEX, MEX 0-0 USA, MEX 2-1 USA, USA 2-0 MEX, USA 2-0 MEX, MEX 2-1 USA, MEX 1-0 USA, USA 2-0 MEX, MEX 0-0 USA) reveals a very home-dominated series.

The 10 matches also averaged just 1.80 gpg with 2 goals or less being scored 7 times, and with the USMNT needing this one but the match being in Mexico, we could very well get a scoreless Draw here (Total Goals Exact: 0, 10/1, Marathon). The best idea and overall best pick here seems to be looking for a 2½ in the marketplace and betting the Under in what could be a sloggy siesta. The USMNT sits 1 point behind Keylor Navas and Costa Rica (2-2-1, 8 points) and 1 point ahead of Panama (1-3-1, 6 points) and may feel like they need to try to get a point here, but in this Site and this Situation, it may prove challenging with Mexican pride carrying El Tri (30-13-17, 123 GF-73 GA overall vs. USMNT) who are playing great soccer and look destined to be on their way to Russia next Summer.

 

Predicted Final Score: Mexico 1 USA 0Free Soccer Pick: Under 2½ -130 Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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