2018 Emmy Odds: Oliver’s ‘Last Week Tonight' Safe Bet for Talker Win

Thursday, July 26, 2018 8:44 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 26, 2018 8:44 PM UTC

The president of the United States looms large in the Outstanding Variety Talk Series category, with a few surprises and some notable snubs.

<p>Talk is king and John Oliver’s show sits on the throne. Good luck knocking him off it Samantha Bee, Stephen Colbert, James Corden, Jimmy Kimmel and Trevor Noah.</p><p>The Outstanding Variety Talk Series is the Emmys category that Trump built. Though it may be one the president and real estate developer would rather implode. All of the programs practice political humor, some relentlessly, with a laser focus on President Trump and the Oval Office, making hay of every tweet, every rally and every omission of a contraction.</p><p>“Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” has won the Emmy the last two years and <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/" title="Sports Betting Odds">bookmakers think he’ll take the award again</a> -- and there’s little reason to think he won’t.</p><p>Bookmakers at <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4584&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a> and <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4682&amp;book=Sports Betting" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">SportsBetting</a> are giving “Last Week Tonight” odds of -350. It is followed by “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” +325, “Full Frontal With Samantha Bee” +650, “Jimmy Kimmel Live” +4000, “Late Late Show with James Corden” +4500 and “The Daily Show With Trevor Noah” +5000.</p><p>Hey, we know how to read odds, and <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/" title="Free Sports Picks">we still think there’s a chance Colbert can pull out a win</a>, albeit a slight one. So, safe bet “Last Week Tonight,” edgy bet “The Late Show.”</p><p>It should be noted that this is the first time “The Daily Show” has been nominated since Noah took over the reins from Jon Stewart three years ago. “The Daily Show with Jon Stewart” won the Emmy for outstanding show 11 times.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Just a normal picture of how everyone was all together when we got the news. Thanks &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/TelevisionAcad?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@TelevisionAcad&lt;/a&gt;!! &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/emmys?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#emmys&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/RJvOXbzjNA\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/RJvOXbzjNA&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Full Frontal (@FullFrontalSamB) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/FullFrontalSamB/status/1017469015940325381?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;July 12, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Snubbed in this category, HBO’s “Real Time with Bill Maher.” It was the first time in 14 years that Maher didn’t receive a nomination. Also left off the list, “Late Night with Seth Meyers,” though it was nominated in the variety series writing category. What does Meyers have to do to get an Emmy nod, have his wife give birth in the lobby of his apartment building? Oh, wait.</p><p>Not so much snubbed, but still notably absent from the nominees is NBC’s “The Tonight Show with Jimmy Fallon,” the second year in a row it hasn’t been tapped in this category. In the run-up to the Emmy nominations, Fallon apologized for his mussing of Trump’s hair (ewww!) in 2016 that many said normalized the then-candidate, helping Trump win the presidency. We’re unsure what role, if any, it played with Fallon’s failure to get an Emmy nod or in Trump’s victory, but being less of a sycophant with his guests might be helpful for next year. Just sayin’.</p><p>As for who else is in contention, “The Late Show” on CBS and “Full Frontal” on TBS, are strong competitors, both going all-in Trump. Colbert’s “Late Show” devotes a large chunk of time nightly to recapping the president’s day, with the occasional pop-up of Jon Stewart from under his desk.</p><p>With “Full Frontal’s” nomination, the TV Academy showed support for Bee after the huuuuge controversy that followed her use of an incendiary word while talking about the president’s daughter, Ivanka. She apologized and showed gratitude to her staff and audience for sticking around.</p><p>“Jimmy Kimmel Live” and “The Late Late Show with James Corden” are equally relevant in late night, with the added bonus of constant Matt Damon jokes and Carpool Karaoke, respectively. But both, as well as “The Daily Show” are distant also-rans to “Last Week Tonight.”</p><p>Oliver, appearing at the Television Critics’ Association annual summer meet-n-greet with TV network execs and personalities, said striking a balance in Trump coverage is a challenge. So much so, that he and his writers keep coverage of the president to the top of the show, devoting a majority of the show to pressing topics such as drug rehab clinics, the Mexican elections, cryptocurrencies and the Iran nuclear deal.</p><p>But Oliver also injects levity with segments on his costly auction finds, including five wax statues of U.S. presidents ($13,700) from a defunct Gettysburg museum and a jock strap worn by actor Russell Crowe in “Cinderella Man” ($7,000).</p><p>The jock strap segment alone is probably why Colbert has all but conceded the Emmy and is campaigning for a made up “Best Non-Winner” award. Though Colbert joked he is toying with suggesting his agent overthrow the Emmy vote like Russian President Putin did for Trump.</p><p>The 70<sup>th</sup> Primetime Emmy Awards, hosted by Colin Jost and Michael Che of “Saturday Night Live,” air Sept. 17 on NBC.</p>
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