The 88th Academy Awards will be beamed live into your living room on February 28th and below we handicap the nominees and analyze the Oscar odds for this year’s Best Actor.
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant -4000
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl +1200
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs +1600
Bryan Cranston – Trumbo +6600
Matt Damon – The Martian +6600
If the Oscar odds are any reflection of the one horse race that is Best Actor, then Leonardo DiCaprio will have to save his finest acting performance for appearing to look downright thunderstruck as his name is announced. The odds are prohibitive on this favorite even though all signals point to DiCaprio bringing home his very first Oscar. Leo has already won the prestigious Golden Globe and SAG Awards for his compelling performance in The Revenant, but has yet to win the hearts and minds of the judges at the Academy Awards despite being nominated on five occasions including this 2016 edition. In other words, when it comes to winning an Oscar Leo DiCaprio is still a virgin – stop giggling!
There are those that say no amount of lumber is too much to lay if you have a guaranteed winner, however, we all know there is no such creature particularly when you are considering wagering on an event as subjective as this. Yes, it is true that the winner of the SAG Award for Best Actor (DiCaprio) has been a veritable oracle for predicting the winner of the Oscars over the last quarter century, yet, we shall eschew the idea that this category is a coronation rather than a competition and look elsewhere.
We cannot consider Matt Damon as he was snubbed by the SAG Awards, which, as stated, has been the bellwether for the Oscars; therefore, we will toss the affable Bostonian from the mix. Bryan Cranston’s Trumbo got a chilly reception from some of the other guilds, and if the movie isn’t compelling, then the actors in it usually become collateral damage. Therefore, it boils down to Michael Fassbender and Eddie Redmayne.
Although the latter took home the hardware last year for his sublime performance as theoretical physicist Stephen Hawking in The Theory of Everything, we will side with Michael Fassbender here in our Oscar picks. Despite another masterful performance by Redmayne, Fassbender gets the nod for his compelling rendition of the late, great Steve Jobs. Michael has been nominated before, and if the Academy decides to forego a repeat from last year’s winner Redmayne, then Fassbender wins.
Oscars Pick: Michael Fassbender +1600
Best Line Offered: at Bet365