We analyze the Oscar odds for this year’s Best Adapted Screenplay. Let’s see which adapted screenplay takes home the hardware and cash in our Oscar picks.
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Big Short -1200
The Martian +4000
The Oscar odds for the Big Short make it a prohibitive favorite but it is so for a reason. The movie that was adapted from the non-fiction book by Michael Lewis about the housing and credit bubble during the 2000’s looks like a veritable shoo-in for top honors at the 2016 Academy Awards. The film has already copped blue ribbons at the BAFTA Film Awards, the WGA Awards and the Critics' Choice Awards which makes it a formidable foe at the Oscars for all the other nominees.
Perhaps the only rival for The Big Short in this category would come from Aaron Sorkin and his film “Steve Jobs” that won an upset victory at the Golden Globes earlier this year. But that will not be of any concern as Sorkin was not chosen as a nominee, thus the only competitor in what would be a two-horse race remains in the barn. Therefore, it is tough to make a case for any of the other films, although Emma Donoghue’s "Room" could pose a challenge. Yet, history is most certainly against that upset as no woman has ever won the Academy Award using her own material, as Donoghue wrote the book from which the movie was adapted.
As difficult as it is to lay all that lumber, I cannot recommend another choice to include in your Oscar picks in this category. There will be upsets for sure, but it won’t be here.
Oscar Pick: The Big Short -1200
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