2015 Tour De France Betting Odds: Outrights Favor Froome, but Quintana Close Behind

SBR Staff

Thursday, June 25, 2015 12:09 PM GMT

We preview the Tour de France betting markets and discuss how the course layout is likely to play into certain rider's hands. Currently, betting odds are favoring Chris Froome and Nairo Quintana, but can cycling bettors cash in by backing another rider to cross the finish line in the yellow jersey?

The 2015 Tour de France starts in Utrecht on Saturday the 4th July, with a short prologue time trial. It kicks off three weeks of spectacular racing and high drama. 21 stages, 3,360kms, 7 mountain stages with 5 summit finishes, 2 rest days, 1 team time trial and 198 riders.  

Chris Froome of Team Sky is the 7/4 favourite, he is looking to take back his title after winning it in 2013 (and was 2nd in 2012), he crashed several times last year before eventually abandoning in a lot of pain. He comes here fresh from winning the Critérium du Dauphiné with a top display of climbing in the final stages. The diminutive figure of Nairo Quintana (Movistar) bids to become the first South American to ever win the Tour, he has a big chance and he currently sits just down the Tour de France odds boards at 5/2.

Reigning champion from the Astana team, Vincenzo Nibali is back to defend his title but he faces some seriously strong competition to defend his ‘Maillot Jaune’, or Yellow Jersey. Alberto Contador (Tinkoff-Saxo) is a multiple Grand Tour winner and has just won the Giro d’Italia in May. He bids to become only the first rider since Marco Pantani in 1998 to do the Giro/Tour double. He is 9/2 to pull it off. But there are several other riders besides the so-called Fab Four who will be looking to creep on to the podium like 200/1 shot Thibaut Pinot did last year.

Wagering on the Tour de France: Outrights & Props

GRAND DEPART
The 102nd running of the Tour starts in Utrecht in the Netherlands, the 21st time that the Tour has started abroad. The first stage is a ‘Prologue’, a short individual time trial over 13.7kms which has the purpose of establishing the first Yellow Jersey wearer of the race and putting all the riders in chronological order on the General Classification for the first road stage the next day.

The race will then pass through Belgium for two stages, including stage 3 which finishes on the iconic Mur de Huy, the hill used at the finish of the Spring Classic ‘La Fleche-Wallone’, won this year by Alejandro Valverde. The climb averages 9.6% for 1.3kms, getting steeper as it gets near the top, hitting a maximum gradient of 19%!

As they head in to northern France there should be some opportunities for the sprinters, but watch out for the windy stretches of roads along the coast that could cause splits. Like the spectacular stage 5 last year, the race returns to a stage over the cobbles of Paris-Roubaix on stage 4 to Cambrai, a stage that could be pivotal to the GC – last year Vincenzo Nibali gained time on all his rivals, while pre-race favourite Chris Froome crashed out.

At the end of the first week, as they head to Brittany there is another spectacular finish on another iconic ‘Mur’ – the Mur de Bretagne, a tough 2kms at 6.9%, a climb that hits 15% in parts. Sunday the 12th July will see the teams tackle the tough 28km Team Time Trial, a fascinating discipline in pro cycling, as all nine riders in the team set off together with the aim of completing the course in the fastest time possible. The time is only measured when the fifth rider crosses the line so it’s not too much of a problem if some riders can’t stand the pace and drop out along the way.. as long as 5 finish close together. There could be reasonably big time gaps between some of the General Classification favourites after this stage, some teams are very good at this, others not so!

They transfer down to the south-west corner of France during the first rest day to start three extremely tough stages in the Pyrenees, including summit finishes at La Pierre-Saint-Martin and Plateau de Beille and a brutally hard stage 11 which takes them over the Col d’Aspin and the highest point in the race, the Col du Tourmalet, at 2115m.

After a transition period across the Massif Central over some lumpy and challenging looking stages they head towards the Alps for the final week. The race could still hopefully be between a number of riders, so we could be in for a treat of attacking racing on the final mountain stages as the riders give it their all in an effort to be wearing the coveted ‘Maillot Jaune’ on the final procession stage to Paris.

THE ALPS
Stage 16 could be one for the breakaway riders or the stronger sprinters if they can get over the Col de Manse near the finish in Gap, but after the second rest day on the 21st July the race really explodes with some epic looking stages.

Stage 17 is a replica of the stage in the Critérium du Dauphiné won in superb fashion by Romain Bardet. He attacked near the top of the penultimate climb of the day and descended like a madman down a treacherously dangerous road, but it gave him over a minute head start hitting the bottom of the final climb of the day to Pra-Loup, a lead he never relinquished.

Stage 18 is a monster – 186kms and 7 categorised climbs, including the ‘Haute Category’ Col du Glandon and the spectacular Lacets de Montvernier. Stage 19 is another beast, but at least it’s only 138kms long – four categorised climbs including the HC climb to Col de la Croix de Fer and the summit finish to La Toussuire.

But the penultimate stage should be one to savour – a short and explosive stage that takes them over the Col de Telegraphe, the Col de Galibier and finishes on probably the most famous climb in cycling, Alpe-d’Huez. 21 hairpin bends lifts them 1128m in 15kms on a climb that is famous for its crowds as much as the epic battles that have been waged there over the years. The stage is only 110kms long, but it is sure to be full of action and drama right from the first kilometre.

It is a route with everything, although some like Chris Froome would have probably liked to have had more individual time trial kilometres. It has stages for the specialists against the clock, fast sprinters, sprinters who can climb a little, break-away specialists, punchy climbers, high climbing specialists and Classic specialists!

The opening week could be fascinating, dangerous, chaotic, the final week could be dramatic, epic and exhausting. We’re in for a treat, now the only problem is trying to pick the winner!
 

Full previews and Tour de France betting guides will follow in the coming weeks. Check back for our predictions on the outright winner, Green Jersey winner, King of the Mountains winner and more from the experts at cyclingbetting.co.uk. 

Tour De France Outright Winner Odds
 
 
Chris Froome +200 +175 +200 +175 +150 +200 +150 +175 +150
Nairo Quintana +250 +225 +245 +255 +250 +245 +250 +250 +225
Alberto Contador +350 +300 +415 +415 +450 +415 +450 +375 +375
Vincenzo Nibali +450 +450 +535 +550 +600 +535 +600 +450 +500
Thibaut Pinot +2000 +2500 +2507 +3300 +2500 +2507 +2500 +2500 +2500
Mikel Landa Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +4000 +6600 Field +8691 +6600 Off Board Off Board
Joaquim Rodriguez +2000 +3300 +4646 +5500 +3300 +4646 +3300 +2800 +3300
Alejandro Valverde +4000 +5000 +8836 +6600 +6600 +8836 +6600 +5000 +5000
Tejay Van Garderen +2500 +2500 +3662 +7500 +3300 +3662 +3300 +3300 +3300
Andrew Talansky +6600 +8000 +9842 +10000 +10000 +9842 +10000 +10000 +10000
Fabio Aru +6600 +8000 +25000 +10000 +10000 +25000 +10000 +12500 Off Board
Romain Bardet Off Board +3300 +6149 +12500 +5000 +6149 +5000 +6600 +5000
Wilco Kelderman Off Board +10000 Field +8691 +12500 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +15000 +10000
Pierre Rolland Off Board +12500 Field +8691 +12500 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +15000 +10000
Jean Christophe Peraud +8000 +6600 +15550 +12500 Field +500 +15550 Field +500 +10000 +8000
Richie Porte +4000 +5000 +6874 +13500 +5000 +6874 +5000 +6600 +5000
Rafal Majka Off Board +4000 +5555 +15000 +5000 +5555 +5000 +5000 +4000
Rigoberto Uran +8000 +10000 +16574 +15000 Field +500 +16574 Field +500 +15000 +12500
Domenico Pozzovivo Off Board +12500 Field +8691 +15000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 Off Board +10000
Jakob Fuglsang Off Board +12500 Field +8691 +15000 +4000 Field +8691 +4000 +8000 +6600
Rui Costa Off Board +15000 Field +8691 +15000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +12500 +15000
Roman Kreuziger Off Board +6600 Field +8691 +20000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +20000 +6600
Carlos Betancur Off Board +12500 Field +8691 +20000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +30000 +15000
Bauke Mollema Off Board +20000 Field +8691 +20000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +15000 +10000
Michal Kwiatkowski Off Board +12500 Field +8691 +20000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +20000 +12500
Daniel Martin Off Board +15000 Field +8691 +25000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +15000 +20000
Warren Barguil Off Board +15000 Field +8691 +25000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +15000 +25000
Jurgen Van Den Broeck Off Board +15000 Field +8691 +25000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 Off Board +12500
Robert Gesink Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +30000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +30000 +25000
Ryder Hesjedal Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +30000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +20000 +25000
Sebastian Henao Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +30000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +30000 +100000
Frank Schleck Off Board +15000 Field +8691 +40000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +40000 +30000
Leopold Konig Off Board +10000 Field +8691 +40000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +40000 +20000
Mathias Frank Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +40000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +40000 +40000
Rafael Valls Off Board +25000 Field +8691 +40000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +30000 Off Board
Adam Yates Off Board +20000 Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +40000 +40000
Alexis Vuillermoz Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 Off Board
Michele Scarponi Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +30000 Off Board
Nicolas Roche Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 +40000
Peter Kennaugh Off Board +25000 Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 +40000
Robert Kiserlovski Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +40000 Off Board
Rohan Dennis Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +80000 +40000
Samuel Sanchez Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 +50000
Simon Spilak Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +15000 +40000
Simon Yates Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +30000 Off Board
Tanel Kangert Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 +50000
Vasil Kiryienka Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 Off Board Off Board
Daniel Moreno Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +50000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 +50000
Laurens Ten Dam Off Board +25000 Field +8691 +60000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +50000 +30000
Giampaolo Caruso Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +60000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 Off Board
Julian Arredondo Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +60000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +40000 Off Board
Tony Gallopin Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +60000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 Off Board
Mikel Nieve Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +60000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 +40000
Rein Taaramae Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +60000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +30000 +60000
Wout Poels Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +60000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +40000 +30000
Steven Kruijswijk Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +60000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +40000 +25000
Jarlinson Pantano Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +60000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 Off Board
Tiago Machado Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +75000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +70000 +50000
Damiano Cunego Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +75000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 Off Board Off Board
Daniel Navarro Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +80000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 Off Board
Michael Rogers Off Board +25000 Field +8691 +80000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 +30000
Tom Dumoulin Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +80000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +50000 Off Board
Haimar Zubeldia Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +80000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 +50000
Peter Sagan Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +80000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 +60000
Riccardo Zoidl Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +80000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 Off Board
Thomas Voeckler Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +80000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 +80000
Dominik Nerz Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 Off Board
Jesus Herrada Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 Off Board
Jose Mendes Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +150000 Off Board
Kristijan Durasek Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +150000 Off Board
Romain Sicard Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 Off Board
Tim Wellens Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 Off Board
Igor Anton Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 +50000
Bob Jungels Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 Off Board
Chris Anker Sorensen Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +150000 Off Board
Geraint Thomas Off Board +10000 Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +15000 +30000
Joseph Dombrowski Off Board Off Board Field +8691 +100000 Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 +60000
Louis Meintjes Off Board Off Board Field +8691 Off Board Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +30000 Off Board
Eduardo Sepulveda Off Board Off Board Field +8691 Off Board Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +40000 Off Board
Stephen Cummings Off Board Off Board Field +8691 Off Board Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +40000 Off Board
Thomas De Gendt Off Board Off Board Field +8691 Off Board Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 +50000
Tony Martin Off Board Off Board Field +8691 Off Board Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +60000 +25000
Jerome Coppel Off Board Off Board Field +8691 Off Board Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 Off Board
Jhoan Esteban Chaves Rubio Off Board Off Board Field +8691 Off Board Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 +40000
Merhawi Kudus Off Board Off Board Field +8691 Off Board Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +100000 Off Board
Tom Danielson Off Board Off Board Field +8691 Off Board Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +150000 Off Board
Dayer Quintana Off Board Off Board Field +8691 Off Board Field +500 Field +8691 Field +500 +150000 +30000