In this article we peruse and analyze the Academy Award odds for this year’s Best Adapted Screenplay. Don't forget to tune in this Sunday, February 22nd!
Best Adapted Screenplay
"The Imitation Game," Graham Moore (-275)
"Whiplash," Damien Chazelle (+333)
"The Theory of Everything," Anthony McCarten (+450)
"American Sniper," Jason Hall (+2000)
"Inherent Vice," Paul Thomas Anderson (+3300)
Though The Imitation Game is the frontrunner in this category I wouldn’t suggest laying almost 1-3 that the WWII novel translated as seamlessly to the silver screen as those of its competitors. Unlike the major categories this grouping has always been somewhat of a wild card. However, 12 Years a Slave did take its place in the winner’s circle last year at Academy Awards odds of -800 as the Best Adapted Screen Play not to mention copping Best Picture and Lupita Nyongo’o as Best Supporting Actress.
Ironically, the Critics’ Choice Award in this category went to Gone Girl, a movie that was not even nominated for an Oscar. This leads me to believe that the Academy is going to go rogue here and give the Oscar to one of the films not up for nomination at the Critics’ Choice. Of the five nominees only Whiplash and American Sniper were not nominated in this category last month at the CC Awards.
The Imitation Game has gone home largely empty-handed during this Red Carpet Season and the enthusiasm appears to be waning amongst the Beautiful People who vote for these awards and know far better than us, the Great Unwashed Masses, what constitutes cinematic bliss and what only purports to be so. There is a real possibility that the two British movies, The Imitation game and The Theory of Everything will cancel each other out in the voting panel allowing Damien Chazelle’s adaptation of Whiplash to garner enough votes at the finish line to take this category home.
Academy Award Pick: Whiplash +333 at WilliamHill