The Golden Globes will beam live into households around America on Sunday January 11, where Hollywood takes yet another bow but which movies, entertainers and celebrities will we back in our Golden Globes betting picks this year?
Best Picture – Drama
The Imitation Game +600
The Theory of Everything +2500 at Bet365
The Beautiful People in Hollywood are nothing if not suckers for an esoteric film that eludes the attention of the Great Unwashed Masses thereby elevating their stature as the preeminent authority on what is deemed cinematic excellence. The odds makers know this game and are offering Golden Globe odds of a prohibitive -800 on the coming-of-age drama Boyhood because of it.
In the interest of full disclosure I missed this one but then again my opinion of a film is hardly the litmus test for which movie is most likely to curry favor with the glitterati who vote. This game is predicated on a quality script, sublime acting and of course good old fashioned politics. And by the way, why the hell isn't Gone Girl up for a Golden Globe? Has it become too old hat to nominate a big box office drama with Ben Affleck’s fingerprints all over it? That was a terrific movie that veered off the standard formulaic blueprint for what has constituted Hollywood dramas in the new millennium.
Despite the overwhelming evidence that Boyhood is a mortal lock to capture the hardware I am going elsewhere for our betting value. While Steve Carell was spellbinding in the Foxcatcher I believe we need to turn our lonely eyes elsewhere. I am warming to the idea of The Imitation Game as a good bet to win the day in this category. It's about a British (Hollywood loves the Brits because they are so very regal and sophisticated) mathematician who is recruited to crack the Nazi codes during WWII. But after the war he is found out to be gay (has your jaw dropped yet?!) and the authorities send him to prison. So what we have is a brilliant homosexual Brit. If that's not a winning trifecta in Holly-weird then I don't know what is!
Best Drama Betting Pick: The Imitation Game +600
Best Actor - Drama
Eddie Redmayne, "The Theory of Everything" -400
Benedict Cumberbatch, "The Imitation Game" +275
Steve Carell, "Foxcatcher" +1600
David Oyelowo, "Selma" +2800
Jake Gyllenhaal, "Nighcrawler" +3300
Rooting against Eddie Redmayne by hitching your wagon to another "star" in this category is kind of like betting against your local team. You want the cash but you hate that it comes at the expense of your hometown bragging rights. If you haven't seen Eddie Redmayne transform himself heart and soul into internationally renowned theoretical physicist Stephen Hawking then give YouPorn a break and get yourself into a movie theater - preferably with your pants on.
Okay so the 32-year-old Redmayne is the overwhelming favorite on the betting odds here but as magical as was his performance we can't be expected to lay 1-4 and be comfortable with that. No we shall look to the aforementioned comedic actor Steve Carell who eerily transformed into eccentric billionaire John Dupont and gave a stunning dramatic performance that no one could have seen coming. At 16-1...I like!
Best Dramatic Actor Betting Pick: Steve Carell +1600
Best Actor - Comedy/Musical
Michael Keaton, "Birdman" -1400
Ralph Fiennes, "The Grand Budapest Hotel" +1200
Joaquin Phoenix, "Inherent Vice" +1600
Bill Murray, "St. Vincent" +2500
Christoph Waltz, "Big Eyes" +2500
Michael Keaton is allegedly brilliant in Birdman. But isn't this a pattern with him? He slips inconspicuously away from the public eye and then comes back with a brilliant dramatic performance which belies his comedic, everyman roots. Keaton will probably take home the garish globe but let's try to find some betting value in this category, shall we?
I am not giving a plug nickel to anyone involved in The Grand Budapest Hotel. I have tried to watch that movie on three separate occasions and every time I turn the channel I experience the same relief as I did as a college student upon being released after watching a painfully tedious foreign film. Only I keep forgetting - I don't have to watch this one!
Alas, we shall cast our fortunes with blue chip comedic veteran actor Bill Murray. Murray brings more depth than you would believe from those bloodhound eyes and St. Vincent is a feel good story that gets made all the better by Murray's nuanced performance, so take Murray as your pick.
Best Comedy/Musical Actor Betting Pick: Bill Murray +2500