2015 Gold Cup Final: Jamaica vs. Mexico Soccer Picks

Nikki Adams

Saturday, July 25, 2015 11:28 AM GMT

CONCACAF upstarts Jamaica take on Mexico in the 2015 Gold Cup final after recording a sensational win over the highly-fancied USA. Can the Reggae Boys go one step further? 

Jamaica Upset USA
Jamaica delivered one of the most fantastic accounts of the CONCACAF Gold Cup final when they upset tournament favorites USA.

The Stars and Stripes entered the knockouts as the team to beat on the soccer betting board, matched at -120 to win outright. With a comprehensive 6-0 win over Cuba, the USA moved into the semi-finals brimming with confidence, all while their soccer odds shortened further across sports betting markets. 

When competition upstarts Jamaica advanced into the semis with a narrow 1-0 win over Haiti, It appeared the USMNT were an almost shoe-in to go to the final. Aptly put by coach Winfried Schafer, "the proverbial David vs. Goliath battle."  The soccer odds were firmly installed in USA's camp with the Jamaicans trading as ridiculous underdogs.

Tale told, the Reggae Boyz pulled off the unthinkable. Goals from Darren Mattocks and Giles Barnes in quick succession in the first half lifted Jamaica to the 2-1 win and saw them beat the odds as well. Indeed, soccer bettors bold enough to back the Jamaicans at the expense of the Americans were handsomely rewarded at the cash window.

It marked the worst loss by the USMNT in the history of the game, failing to reach the Gold Cup final for the first time in six tournaments. While the Stars and Stripes reflect on this shocker, the Reggae Boys are dancing all the way to the final.

 

Jamaica First Caribbean Team In Final
Jamaica's appearance in the CONCACAF Gold Cup final marks the first-ever Caribbean representation. The Jamaicans, matched at +400 soccer odds to win the final and at +225 soccer odds to lift the trophy, have their work cut out for them. They take on a highly-fancied Mexico, trading at -125 to win outright and at whopping -300 soccer odds to lift the trophy.

Mexico reach the final with a sensational win over Panama in extra time amidst some controversy. The 2-1 win was a result of a couple of late penalties that Mexico converted to advance into their eighth Gold Cup final.

Controversy aside, the Mexicans boast a prolific offense that was key to their successful progress in this tournament. They've scored 13 goals, the highest tally of all the teams. They've also been adventurous on the attack with 95 attempted shots in five matches. Lead scorer Guardado (five goals) was also the go-to player against Panama.

Mexico's strength plays right into Jamaica's strength, a solid backline that has conceded three goals in five matches. Two of which came in the opening game against Costa Rica (2-2 draw) and not until the semi-finals did they concede the third goal. Three games were clean sheets that the Jamaicans won by a narrow 1-0 score (Canada, El Salvador and Haiti).

 

Soccer Betting Verdict:
As improbable as this final might be, it's actually poised to be a sensational clash between El Tri's lightning offense and Jamaica's gritty defence. Mexico are the deserved favorites at -125 to win outright, but the fact that they had trouble breaking down Panama's stubborn backline might give Jamaica some room for optimism. After all, the Reggae Boyz frustrated the Americans didn't they? Defending furiously in the second half of their semi-final clash, despite waves and waves of American attacks. Maybe they were lucky to get away with it. Perhaps the Americans were unlucky not to turn the match around. At the end of the day, that's irrelevant now.

Mexico can't take anything for granted if they hope to come through as the favorites. Meanwhile, Jamaica have to believe they can mastermind yet another upset en route to their nation's first-ever Gold Cup title.

Overwhelmingly, the public is leaning towards a Mexico win, with popular bets also including a 2-1 or 3-1 score, trading at +800 and +2000, respectively at Bet365. A minority only appears to be backing the Reggae Boyz to victory.  The appeal of the Cinderella story negated by sound reasoning and probability, not to mention a convincing 13-2-2 all time head-to-head record over Jamaica. But what if this Cinderella doesn't only get to the ball, but wins the ultimate prize as well? It's a bold soccer pick, not an unreasonable one you have to concede.

Soccer Picks: Jamaica +400

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