2014 World Cup Picks: Uruguay vs. Colombia Odds

Nila Amerova

Thursday, June 26, 2014 12:41 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 26, 2014 12:41 PM GMT

Colombia and Uruguay have a date in the World Cup knockout stages, a thrilling R16 clash that odds makers are tipping in Colombia’s corner regardless of whether Uruguay will have its star player Luis Suarez on the pitch or not. Find out what odds are available on the World Cup trading floor and where the value picks are to be had.

Colombia hot to trot
Colombia won Group C emphatically, coming through on their pre-tournament group betting odds of -163 to win outright. Colombia won all three matches, finishing their group campaign with a 3-0-0 mark and 9 points, highlighted by scoring nine goals and conceding just two. It was a wide-open group from the start, perceptibly devoid of established World Cup heavyweights. Yet, inasmuch as it was a favourable section towards their bid, one could argue it was also the same for the rest of the field, which included Greece, Ivory Coast and Japan. Colombia took full advantage, dominating the field and living up to their top billing in this section. Most impressively, they accomplished the feat without their nation’s star Radamel Falcao.


Uruguay to bite the dust?
Uruguay’s campaign through Group D was rather up-and-down. They began with a surprising 3-1 defeat to Costa Rica before bouncing back with a 2-1 win over England, a match that marked the return of Luis Suarez into the line-up following knee surgery. Indeed, after the shocking defeat to Costa Rica, which sent Uruguay’s campaign into turmoil, the return of Suarez was pivotal. They looked like a sharper team with Suarez in the line-up, the midfield more piercing and the attack packing more of a punch. This proved to be the case in their final lap (literally and figuratively) of Group D action, as Uruguay, with a narrow 1-0 victory, edged their way into the R16 at the expense of Italy.  Luis Suarez, however, marred the occasion when he was found biting Giorgio Chiellini, and he may be suspended for the duration of the tournament, a yet undetermined fate that has prompted Uruguay’s odds to bite the dust. 

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Colombia vs. Uruguay match betting tips and picks:
Colombia have impressed so far, to the point that they would appear to be unstoppable. The most important aspect is that they are able to play at a high level even without their star Radamel Falcao. Hence, their favourable +110 odds to win outright in World Cup betting markets.

Uruguay, by contrast, have looked vulnerable, particularly without Luis Suarez in the line-up. That the Liverpool striker’s sojourn at the World Cup campaign would appear to be short-lived as the FIFA Committee deliberates his fate (potential ban), only serves to disadvantage Uruguay on the pitch and in World Cup betting markets. Uruguay are matched at rather high +280 odds to win outright. What’s more, it’s quite possible their odds will swell further as soon as FIFA hands in its verdict on the biting incident.


Head to Head
Uruguay and Colombia have played 38 times against each other – Colombia won 11, Uruguay 18, and the other 9 matches ended in a draw. A total number of 97 goals were scored. Colombia scored 43, Uruguay 54.

Key Players for Colombia: James Rodríguez, who has scored in each group match, and Jackson Martínez (1 goal).

Key Players for Uruguay: Luis Suarez (assuming he attempts to appeal the ban) and Edinson Cavani. Diego Forlan could also be a game-changer, but he needs to step it up following a drab group account.


 World Cup Betting Verdict: After boosting Uruguay’s World Cup chances, Luis Suarez pulls a daft move, effectively rendering Uruguay’s chances doubtful. That is, if they play as badly as they did against Costa Rica, in which case, it wouldn’t be hard to imagine Colombia wearing down Uruguay’s defense with their relentless attacking. If Uruguay can somehow play more cohesively as they did against England and Italy, Colombia won’t have an easy time coming through on their tempting +110 odds to win outright. It would be a tighter, closer game.

The quality contained on Uruguay’s bench, however, suggests though they are capable of playing better. Perhaps, they’ve been saving themselves for the knockouts, fearful of peaking too early in the tournament. If so, perhaps, they shouldn’t be underestimated or written off entirely. Granted, their group account left much to be desired. There were defensive issues as well as offensive uncertainties. But the knockouts are when the tournament really counts. With everything hanging in the balance, Uruguay –with or without Suarez – could still perk up. Keep in mind, if Edinson Cavani and Diego Forlan would light up (this is their chance at the spotlight, after all), they can be unstoppable. That would make Uruguay tougher to beat than the odds makers suggest.

World Cup Picks: Uruguay at +280 to win outright
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