2014 World Cup Picks: Germany vs. Argentina

Nila Amerova

Friday, July 11, 2014 5:06 AM GMT

Germany and Argentina advanced into the final of the 2014 World Cup, setting up a bill of fare in World Cup betting markets that is simply to die for with loads of lovely odds and angles for profit, and if this match lives up to the hype, World Cup bettors will be in for a treat as they look to cash out.

Germany the favourites
Germany destroyed Brazil’s World Cup hopes on the heels of a 7-1 disembowelling in the semi-finals on Tuesday night, thereby relegating Brazil into the ignominious third-place finish consolation match on Saturday. Germany’s course through the finals has had a little bit of everything – from brilliant offense to stoic defending and cohesive team play. No nonsense, no individuals looking to become a star, nor any needless showboating has underscored team ethos from start to finish, and if they can maintain that resilient and focused outlook they could realise their World Cup dreams in Brazil, a happenstance that can be backed at -150 odds in outright futures betting markets.

Die Mannschaft have been knocking on the final door of the World Cup finals since a runner-up finish in 2002 to Brazil. In 2006, they succumbed to a defeat to eventual champions Italy in the semis. In 2010, they succumbed to a defeat to eventual champions Spain. This time around, Germany hope to claim the ultimate prize: World Champions. Certainly, they’ve thrown down the gauntlet with their historic victory over the hosts, making them the deserved favourites, if on the short side of even money at +130 to win outright.

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Argentina the underdogs
Argentina’s World Cup dreams survived a dogged Dutch side in a dramatic penalty shoot out to live another day. Indeed, Argentina’s course through these finals has been less than stellar, largely defensive-minded with a sprinkle of offense, almost exclusively coming from their star talisman Messi. It’s hasn’t been pretty football, not unlike Germany on occasion, but that is sometimes what it takes to win the ultimate prize.

Argentina have collided with Germany twice in the finals, in 1986 and 1990. The South Americans won the former clash while Germany proved victorious in the latter. Almost a quarter century has passed since these two heavyweights have clashed in the final of the World Cup, and if odds were any indication, Argentina have their work cut out for them at +125 to win outright in futures betting markets. 

Germany vs. Argentina betting tips and picks:
Recent finals that featured several established stalwarts from both nations’ benches tip the scale towards Germany wholeheartedly, which probably explains this market stance. Germany have been a thorn in Argentina’s side in recent finals. In 2010, Germany dumped Argentina in the quarterfinals. In 2006, Germany dumped Argentina...drum roll... in the quarterfinals. So if recent head-to-head were any indication, in which Germany have the decided edge in this matchup, it follows they are the smart pick to win at +130 in match betting and lift the trophy at -150 futures odds. 

Another thing that makes Germany a strong pick is the fact that they play as a cohesive unit. In short, they represent the essence of team play. Argentina, by contrast, defend stoically as a team. At least that’s the blueprint they’ve come with to these finals. Any offense seems to come almost exclusively from Messi, a player dependency that frankly could go either way. If Messi has one of his brilliant days, he could win it single-handedly for Argentina, which would make backing Argentina on their rather disingenuous +250 match betting odds the profitable pick. On the other hand, if Germany neutralise Messi in the final – and he’s been rather silent in the last couple of matches, mind – Argentina’s World Cup dreams will fade faster than you can say Die Mannschaft.

World Cup Picks: This match is a bit of coin flipper with the betting public split almost 50-50 in terms of their which side they’re backing on their World Cup picks. For our money, we quite fancy Germany to pull off the victory and, as such, we’re recommending Germany at +130 in match betting markets. Adding weight to this pick is the fact that bookies, who were rattled by the topsy-turvy start to the tournament that was rife with upsets and drama, have recovered since the turbulent group stages in order to get things right in the knockouts. So if they’re right this last time, Germany to win is the best betting pick.
World Cup Picks: Germany to win outright at +130; to lift trophy at -150