2014 World Cup Betting: Switzerland vs. Ecuador

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, June 11, 2014 3:56 PM GMT

Switzerland and Ecuador collide on Day 4 of the 2014 FIFA World Cup, both keen to capitalise on a wide-open Group E in order to advance into the knockouts. The pair is poised delicately on a tight soccer-betting line to kick-start their campaign.


The dangerous floaters
Switzerland are deemed the second favourites in Group E, but since last week their odds to win the wide-open section have shortened marginally from +275 to +260, a move that is partly a reaction to Franck Ribery’s injury – a decided blow to France’s bid – but largely down to action coming down the wire, as World Cup bettors attempt to spot value floaters in each, and every group. The Ribery blow isn’t enough to completely flip the script in Group E, as yet. It takes more than the loss of one player to alter market perceptions – to date, Ecuador and Honduras’s odds remain pretty much the same. Where it does have an impact, however, is to alter the perspective of World Cup bettors. When many were of the opinion this section would fall in line with the formbook, more and more are now thinking otherwise, hoping to pave their way to profit by backing the two dangerous floaters in this section – Switzerland and Ecuador.

Certainly, France’s loss could be Switzerland and Ecuador’s gain. At the very least, it could bolster confidence in the either camp. At best, it could make them believe they have a much better shot at top spot than they would have originally had, and certainly a better shot than odds makers are currently suggesting.


Switzerland vs. Ecuador match betting tips and picks:
Switzerland open their bid against Ecuador, a side that could potentially surprise in this group, despite their large +400 odds to win the section. Indeed, odds makers have rolled out a rather tight soccer-betting line for their opening clash, with both sides tipped on the short side of even money, a market stance that suggests the match, theoretically, could go either way. The most telling aspect however, is the price on Ecuador to win outright and the draw, both of which are both listed at +210. Switzerland, meanwhile, are listed at slightly shorter +160 odds to win outright.

Switzerland are flush off back-to-back victories in friendly action, a 1-0 win over Jamaica and a 2-0 win over Peru. The Swiss have suffered just one defeat since the start of 2013, a 2-1 defeat to Korea Republic. They have won seven fixtures and drawn four.

Ecuador’s output in friendly action leaves something to be desired, including the debacle that was their clash with Mexico last week, which ended in a 3-1 defeat and needless scuffling and injuries. Credit to Ecuador however they did hold Netherlands to a 1-1 draw ahead of the heated clash with Mexico. As well, they bounced back with a 2-2 draw against England, their last warm-up before Brazil.
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Soccer Betting Verdict:
This matchup strikes a tricky pose. At face value, Switzerland would seem to be the smart soccer pick at +160, but Ecuador’s ability to hold both Netherlands and England to scoreless draws, suggests there is more to South American’s than they are being given credit for by odds makers. Granted those matches were only warm-ups. So they have to be taken in the appropriate context. Still, would you underestimate Ecuador? At the very least, the draw does seem possible, which can be backed as a sole bet on +210 odds, or in combination markets, such as double chance betting, which offers a) Switzerland or draw at -250, or b) Ecuador or Draw at -188. The more we think on it, the more the draw appears the savvy World Cup pick in this matchup.

World Cup Picks: Draw at +210; 0-0 at +550