2014 World Cup Betting: Netherlands vs. Chile Picks & Odds

Richard O'Hagan

Thursday, June 19, 2014 8:11 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 19, 2014 8:11 PM GMT

On any other occasion, this would be a non-issue of a game. Both teams have qualified for the last 16 and all that is to be decided is the order in which they finish in the group. If this were not a Group B match, you’d be lumping your money onto the draw and expecting very few goals indeed.

However, this is a Group B game, and finishing first is very important. Come second, and you almost certainly face Brazil in the next round. Winning the group means playing Mexico, or possibly Croatia. Even though one of those sides drew with the hosts, and the other was arguably only denied the chance to do so by some poor refereeing, there is no doubting which option is the preferred one.

It will, therefore, be a game played to win, at least by Chile. A draw would see the Dutch top the group, but only on the third choice decided of goal average. Playing for a draw would play into Chilean hands, though. One thing that we have learned already is that the Dutch are very poor in defence, whilst the Chilean three-man attack looks to have the ability to take apart any back four in this tournament.

At the moment, the win market is slightly unhinged. A Holland win is best priced at 2.62 with Coral, a Chile one at 2.9 with Bet365, and even the draw is coming in at 3.4 in most markets. Whilst the sensible bet here looks to be for a Chilean win, there is clearly something to be made wherever you place your money.

There’s also a chance to make some money with your soccer picks in the half time/full time market, where backing a draw at the interval followed by a win for one side, or the other will get you 6.75 on Holland, and 7.0 on Chile, both with YouWin.

First goalscorer markets always carry an element of risk, because you have so many options. One thing to be wary of here is that Robin van Persie still features in a lot of markets even though he is suspended for this game. Without him, his forward partner Arjen Robben looks a good bet at 8.0 with 888.com, but the best price here is on one of those Chilean forwards, Arturo Vidal, at 12.0 with Ladbrokes.

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