2014 World Cup Betting: Ecuador vs. Honduras Picks

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, June 18, 2014 7:30 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 18, 2014 7:30 PM UTC

Ecuador must bounce back from a disappointing defeat to Switzerland, if they hope to keep their World Cup campaign alive. Next up is Honduras, the Group E underdogs. Will Ecuador come through on their favourable odds to win outright? Find out as we preview this matchup and serve up free soccer picks.

Ecuador’s bright start snuffed
Ecuador started brightly against Switzerland, taking the early lead through Enner Valencia’s first-half goal (22nd minute). La Tri’s second half account, though, left much to be desired. They took the foot off the pedal, only to be summarily punished by Admir Mehmedi’s 48th minute strike that levelled the match. Then, just when it looked like a draw was on the cards, the worst possible thing happened: Seferovic drove a last gasp effort past the posts to snatch the victory for Switzerland. Ecuador were beaten. The upshot: their market credibility damaged. 

Ecuador began the competition as the dangerous floaters in Group E, matched at +400 odds to win the section and at favourable -110 to simply advance. After the first round was in the books, Ecuador emerge as the whopping +2800 long shots to win Group E, and the +350 puppies to simply advance.

Honduras odds careen out of control
While Ecuador’s odds shift, Honduras’ odds careen out of control. They were always going to be the underdogs in this group, not to mention the competition. But when they started as the +3300 puppies to win the section, only to drift out to +12500, it’s a drastic declining measure in the broad spectrum of the competition. Indeed, even to simply qualify they are matched at whopping +1400 underdogs – one of the highest price tags of the competition barring Cameroon at +1600 (Group A). 

All in all, Honduras are no-hopers. Their defeat to France was inevitable, it was largely expected by odds makers and World Cup betting fans alike. They did bring intensity to their opener, a physicality that wasn’t entirely expected –and, at times, looked out of place. But they were too preoccupied with trying to wreck havoc with France’s starting line up rather than playing football.

Ecuador vs. Honduras Betting Tips & Picks
On paper, Honduras presents a much easier task for Ecuador. As a result, they are the hot favourites at -138 to win outright. Honduras are the underdogs at +450 while the draw is trading at +280. That Ecuador aren’t the runaway favourites (upwards of -200 or so) might seem surprising at first. Upon further consideration, though, it makes complete sense. Ecuador’s defensive issues proved to be the weakest link against Switzerland, ultimately leading to their downfall in the opening round despite taking the early lead. It’s a serious area that Ecuador needs to address, but it remains to be seen what changes they’ll make (if any) ahead of this clash.

For now, such breakdowns on the pitch cannot be ignored, nor can they be swept aside as a non-issue, even against a so-called no-hoper as Honduras. Theoretically, any side could capitalise on defensive mistakes, including an unlikely.

Honduras, matched at +450 odds to win outright, boasting a price tag that isn’t as pricey as one would have expected given their overarching World Cup odds (12500?+1400?). Indeed, with Honduras priced still reasonably well, should World Cup bettors take it as a sign they shouldn’t be written off just yet? Maybe, yes.

That said, if Ecuador have defensive weaknesses, Honduras have offensive weaknesses to match. Goals have been the theme in this World Cup so far, and if that trend holds true, Honduras will need to net a few in order to come through on their odds.

World Cup Picks: Ecuador to win outright at -138; Under 2.5 at -118 for your soccer picks

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