2014 World Cup Betting: Ecuador vs. France Picks & Odds

Mike Richardson

Monday, June 23, 2014 5:44 PM GMT

You may remember your Humble Handicapper having a quiet punt on France to win the 2014 World Cup; if not, you can still join him in his profit spinning ways when Ecuador take on France this Wednesday in their last Group game.


France have scored plenty of goals and it will surprise no-one who can do basic math that they are now 8/1 (fourth favourites) to win the World Cup in Brazil. Lots of people are still talking up Germany, Argentina and the hosts but your Humble Handicapper likes the look of Les French.

As we head into the final group games France are sitting pretty on the top of Group E and even though they haven’t technically qualified, I feel confident that they will. France sit on six points while both Ecuador and Switzerland could match them on points, (if they win and France lose). Your Humble Handicapper reckons that it’s the safest bet in football that France will make it past the Group Stages on Wednesday night and you can get odds of them doing it at 1/25.


France’s Word Cup adventure will continue.  The big question is who will join them?
The bookies have France as firm favourites to top the group at 1/100 and then a clear second favourite are Ecuador at 100/1. Honduras and Switzerland are both 200/1 long shots which implies that they like France and Ecuador progressing.

A point will be enough to guarantee France through and a point may be enough for Ecuador, but that would leave them dependent on doing better than Honduras.

It’s worth noting that the “to qualify” odds follow a different pattern. France are 1/25 favourites followed by Switzerland at 4/9, then Ecuador at 9/4 and then Honduras at 100/1.


Enough with Qualification…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?
The basics on this game have France winning at 5/6, the draw at 11/4 and Ecuador winning at 17/5. The bookies clearly like France and they have them winning both halves at 2/1. If you think the game will be tight until the inevitable happens you can get best soccer odds of 4/1 on the game being drawn on the 45 and France’s on the 90.

The bookies have hedged their bets a little on this one and have the game ending drawn 1-1 at the shortest correct score odds of 6/1.

You Humble Handicapper reckons that the bookies have got this one wrong, we’ll see more goals and a clear winner. France have momentum, but as both 1-0 a and 2-1 are the next most likely scores (according to the odds) he is comfortable in suggesting that you make your soccer pick on this game on France wining by a single goal at 29/10. What’s more you can have an even safer bet on the game being decided either way by a single goal at 9/10, but it makes most sense to back France to come out on top.
Prediction: France win 2-1 available at best soccer odds of 9/1 with Ladbrokes.

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