2014 World Cup Betting: Colombia vs. Greece Picks

Nila Amerova

Thursday, June 12, 2014 7:47 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 12, 2014 7:47 PM GMT

Group C favourites Colombia take on Greece on day 3 of 2014 World Cup betting. Join us as we weigh in on the odds that are currently in swing and serve up choice soccer picks for your consideration.

Colombia have market cornered
Colombia have the market cornered on -110 odds to win outright, as they get their World Cup campaign underway at the weekend against Greece. Colombia are Group C favourites to top the section on -105 odds, as well they are the hot -333 favourites to simply advance into the knockouts.

Colombia come into the finals on a verve and swagger, having maintained an undefeated record in their last seven fixtures, since a 2-0 defeat to Uruguay in qualifying action in September. They won three and settled on draws in the rest; most notably, they held Netherlands to a scoreless draw in Amsterdam.

Experts and pundits alike have earmarked Colombia as one of the teams to spot during the finals in Brazil, partly down to a rather favourable group and a solid qualifying campaign. They qualified second behind Argentina in South America, a solid feat even though Brazil (as hosts) didn’t need to participate in the proceedings.

Colombia’s bench boasts a healthy sprinkling of exciting young talent up front and a solid back four, spearheaded by veteran Mario Yepes. The loss of Radamel Falcao, arguably, is a huge blow to the team; the Monaco star contributed nine goals during their qualification campaign. But it’s not as if they don’t have alternative options: Teofilo Gutierrez, Rodriguez and Victor Ibarbo are just few that could shoulder the burden on attack in his stead.

Greece severely disadvantage
The Greeks enter the finals at the severe disadvantage, almost disingenuously so. They are the section underdogs at +700 to top the table, as well as the +200 puppies to simply advance. In their group opener with Colombia, odds makers extend the disadvantage on both the outright win with +400 soccer odds and the draw +230. However, the fact remains that Greece are one of the toughest teams to beat. That is their maxim.

In their last 12 games, Greece suffered just one defeat – a 2-0 defeat to Korea Republic. The remaining 11 games went 8-3-0, including six straight clean sheets (eight in total). Most impressively, they held both Portugal and Nigeria to a scoreless draws in their pre-World Cup warm-ups.

Where Greece comes up short is on the attack; they aren’t known to score many goals. They average about a goal a game, on a good day. However, they more than make up for it by their stoic defending. Indeed, the Greek’s will hope to stifle Colombia on day 3 when they kick-start their campaign.


World Cup Betting Verdict: The market on this match is somewhat deceiving in our opinion; it should be set on closer odds than are currently available.

Colombia is a quality side, with a lot of flair and exciting new players. However, it remains to be seen how effective they’ll be without their talisman Radamel Falcao, which makes them an uncertain favourite at -110 to win outright.

Greece, on the other hand, appear to be rather unfairly disadvantaged in this match at +400, when they are clearly one of the hardest teams to beat. Defence can win games, after all. Where they are concerned, however, it remains to be seen whether they can keep it together on the big occasion.

So what does all this mean? Well, it means there is value on both sides of the coin. Colombia could very well come through on their favourable odds at -110, but so could Greece on their disadvantaged +400 odds. Either/or seems to be a good soccer pick. That said, the more we think on it, the more we feel these sides could cancel each other out actually, lending value to the draw at +230.  Indeed, even the odds makers have this notion covered in double chance betting, listing both sides to win or draw at rather high prices: Colombia to win or draw is tipped at +550 and Greece to win or draw is tipped at -286.

World Cup Pick: Draw +230

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