We have to look at the facts of Group F: Argentina (thanks to Lionel Messi and his 40th goal for his country) sit on top with six points and are guaranteed a place in the last 16. Nigeria are sitting on four points and could (if they beat Argentina) go top, but the bookies have Argentina qualifying top of Group F at 1/11 and Nigeria are 9/1.
That makes very little difference to both Bosnia and Iran who face off on Wednesday, as Bosnia are well and truly out (like England) but Iran could technically scrape through, provided Argentina beat Nigeria (which they are 3/5 to do) and Iran beat Bosnia by sufficient goals, they will go through to the final 16 as second best in Group F. Iran are currently 6/1 to qualify.
Enough with Iran’s chances….WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?
If you want to know what Nigeria and Iran’s chances are of winning the world cup, you can get best soccer odds of 2500/1 on Iran lifting the trophy and Nigeria are 200/1. But why bet on any of those.
The basics in Wednesday’s match have Iran winning at 113/5, the draw is at 5/2 and a Bosnia-Herzegovina win is at 6/5. Iran need to take the game to Bosnia, and while your Humble Handicapper doesn’t reckon they will qualify he does see them coming out of the blocks fast and hard. The bookies like Bosnia winning both halves at 21/10, but they then like the draw across both halves at 7/2. If you want to see a decent return why not throw some money down on Iran winning the first half. You can get Iran/Iran at 11/2, Iran draw at 17/1 and even Iran / Bosnia-Herzegovina at 40/1
Looking at the correct score odds shows us that the bookies like the draw or Bosnia winning way before they fancy Iran. 1-1 is at 6/1 (favourite) closely followed by 1-0 to Bosnia at 7/1 and 2-1 at 8/1. The shortest correct score odds on an Iran victory are a big fat 8/1 for 1-0.
This may imply to the less experienced handicapper that it’ll all be one way traffic and Bosnia will come out on top. That would be sort of right, but your Humble Handicapper knows better and sees Iran scoring first (at best soccer odds of 7/5, compared to Bosnia at 3/4) as a decent bet, but he doesn’t like Iran winning.
So back both teams to score at 7/8, and as
the game will either be drawn or a Bosnia win, and you
might want to have a punt on the match going Over 2.5 goals at 11/10.
Free soccer pick: Bosnia come out on top 2-1 at best soccer odds of 9/1 with BetVictor.